AUB

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation

68
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

AUB has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has a slight edge over AUB overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

AUB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

AUB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AUB.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

AUB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.9x$39.49—
Cheap11x$39.88+1%
Current11x$39.49—
Fair13x$47.62+21%
Expensive17x$62.29+58%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AUB's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.9x next year's earnings.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over AUB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AUB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect AUB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over AUB on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

AUB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$49.59
Downside-14%$33.97

Calculated from the latest close: $39.49 on Nov 12.

AUB trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AUB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AUB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $2.71Q2 2024: $2.26Q3 2024: $2.40Q4 2024: $2.24Q1 2025: $2.14Q2 2025: $2.01Q3 2025: $1.82Q4 2025: $2.03Q1 2026: $2.35Q2 2026: $3.34Q3 2026: $3.65Forward: $3.99
Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $2.71Q2 2024: $2.26Q3 2024: $2.40Q4 2024: $2.24Q1 2025: $2.14Q2 2025: $2.01Q3 2025: $1.82Q4 2025: $2.03Q1 2026: $2.35Q2 2026: $3.34Q3 2026: $3.65Forward: $3.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.99+9.2%
Q3 2026$3.65+101%
Q2 2026$3.34+66%
Q1 2026$2.35+9.8%
Q4 2025$2.03-9.4%
Q3 2025$1.82-24%
Q2 2025$2.01-11%
Q1 2025$2.14-21%
Q4 2024$2.24-11%

AUB earned $3.65 per share over the past year, up 101% from the year before.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over AUB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AUB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $184MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $208MQ3 2024: $217MQ4 2024: $218MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $403MQ3 2025: $371MQ4 2025: $387MQ1 2026: $367MQ2 2026: $415MQ3 2026: $383M
Q4 2023: $184MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $208MQ3 2024: $217MQ4 2024: $218MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $403MQ3 2025: $371MQ4 2025: $387MQ1 2026: $367MQ2 2026: $415MQ3 2026: $383M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$383.2M+3.3%
Q2 2026$415.4M+3.1%
Q1 2026$367.2M+72%
Q4 2025$387.2M+77%
Q3 2025$371M+71%
Q2 2025$402.9M+93%
Q1 2025$213.3M+23%
Q4 2024$218.5M+19%

AUB has the edge over SOFI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2022: $1.4B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.

AUB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $86MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $157MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $182M
Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $86MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $157MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $182M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$182.5M+16%
Q2 2026$150.2M-92%
Q1 2026$127.3M+105%
Q4 2025$114.5M+16%
Q3 2025$156.9M+132%
Q2 2025$1.9B+2123%
Q1 2025$62M+8.8%
Q4 2024$98.3M+103%

AUB has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

AUB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 90MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 90MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 142MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 142MQ3 2026: 142M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 90MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 90MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 142MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 142MQ3 2026: 142M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-679K shares
1 year-0.2%-345K shares
3 years+89%+66.6M shares
5 years+86%+65.3M shares
Available history+76%+61.4M shares

AUB has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

AUB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

AUB's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AUB.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over AUB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AUB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.5Neutral
Stochastic38.8Neutral

AUB's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

AUB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAUBSector medianRelative
PE11x13x17% below
PE %136350 pts below

AUB has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AUB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.91.4% above
20 week MA$40.52.4% below
50 week MA$38.81.9% above
100 week MA$35.910% above
200 week MA$34.813% above

AUB has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

AUB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.9$32.9-13%
2021$32.9$37.4+14%
2022$37.4$34.9-6.7%
2023$34.9$36.5+4.6%
2024$36.5$38.1+4.2%
2025$38.1$36.4-4.4%
2026 YTD$36.4$39.5+8.5%

AUB has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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