AUB

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation

68
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

AUB has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AUB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

AUB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AUB.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

AUB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.9x$39.49—
Cheap11x$39.88+1%
Current11x$39.49—
Fair13x$47.62+21%
Expensive17x$62.29+58%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AUB has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

AUB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect AUB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

AUB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$49.59
Downside-14%$33.97

Calculated from the latest close: $39.49 on Nov 12.

AUB trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AUB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AUB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $2.71Q2 2024: $2.26Q3 2024: $2.40Q4 2024: $2.24Q1 2025: $2.14Q2 2025: $2.01Q3 2025: $1.82Q4 2025: $2.03Q1 2026: $2.35Q2 2026: $3.34Q3 2026: $3.65Forward: $3.99
Q4 2023: $2.53Q1 2024: $2.71Q2 2024: $2.26Q3 2024: $2.40Q4 2024: $2.24Q1 2025: $2.14Q2 2025: $2.01Q3 2025: $1.82Q4 2025: $2.03Q1 2026: $2.35Q2 2026: $3.34Q3 2026: $3.65Forward: $3.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.99+9.2%
Q3 2026$3.65+101%
Q2 2026$3.34+66%
Q1 2026$2.35+9.8%
Q4 2025$2.03-9.4%
Q3 2025$1.82-24%
Q2 2025$2.01-11%
Q1 2025$2.14-21%
Q4 2024$2.24-11%

AUB earned $3.65 per share over the past year, up 101% from the year before.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over AUB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AUB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $184MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $208MQ3 2024: $217MQ4 2024: $218MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $403MQ3 2025: $371MQ4 2025: $387MQ1 2026: $367MQ2 2026: $415MQ3 2026: $383M
Q4 2023: $184MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $208MQ3 2024: $217MQ4 2024: $218MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $403MQ3 2025: $371MQ4 2025: $387MQ1 2026: $367MQ2 2026: $415MQ3 2026: $383M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$383.2M+3.3%
Q2 2026$415.4M+3.1%
Q1 2026$367.2M+72%
Q4 2025$387.2M+77%
Q3 2025$371M+71%
Q2 2025$402.9M+93%
Q1 2025$213.3M+23%
Q4 2024$218.5M+19%

AUB has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AUB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $86MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $157MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $182M
Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $86MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $98MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $157MQ4 2025: $114MQ1 2026: $127MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $182M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$182.5M+16%
Q2 2026$150.2M-92%
Q1 2026$127.3M+105%
Q4 2025$114.5M+16%
Q3 2025$156.9M+132%
Q2 2025$1.9B+2123%
Q1 2025$62M+8.8%
Q4 2024$98.3M+103%

AUB has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

AUB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 90MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 90MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 142MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 142MQ3 2026: 142M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 90MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 90MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 142MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 142MQ3 2026: 142M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-679K shares
1 year-0.2%-345K shares
3 years+89%+66.6M shares
5 years+86%+65.3M shares
Available history+76%+61.4M shares

AUB has 142M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over AUB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AUB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: -2.4xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

AUB's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AUB.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over AUB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AUB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.5Neutral
Stochastic38.8Neutral

AUB's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

AUB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAUBSector medianRelative
PE11x13x17% below
PE %136350 pts below

AUB has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AUB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.91.4% above
20 week MA$40.52.4% below
50 week MA$38.81.9% above
100 week MA$35.910% above
200 week MA$34.813% above

AUB's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 13% above its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

AUB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.9$32.9-13%
2021$32.9$37.4+14%
2022$37.4$34.9-6.7%
2023$34.9$36.5+4.6%
2024$36.5$38.1+4.2%
2025$38.1$36.4-4.4%
2026 YTD$36.4$39.5+8.5%

AUB has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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