ATS
ATS Corporation
ATS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over ATS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
ATS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
ATS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ATS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 26x | $8.68 | -49% |
| Fair | 36x | $12.33 | -28% |
| Current | 51x | $17.18 | — |
| Expensive | 54x | $18.33 | +6.7% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ATS's PE is 51x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT has the edge over ATS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ATS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ATS's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAT has the edge over ATS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
ATS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.34 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.51 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.13 | -80% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.04 | -104% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.28 | -122% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.21 | -115% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.64 | -50% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.92 | -21% |
ATS has returned to profit: it earned $0.34 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.73 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over ATS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ATS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $487.7M | -5.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $525.2M | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $534.3M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $512.1M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $517.9M | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $403.7M | -27% |
| Q4 2024 | $458.4M | -13% |
| Q3 2024 | $430.8M | -17% |
ATS's revenue is growing: $488M last quarter, down 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 4.3% | -3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1% | +23 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.3% | +3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.8% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -20% | -29 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.1% | -5.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 3.6% | -7.7 points |
ATS's operating margin was 4.3% last quarter, down 3.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over ATS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over ATS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ATS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $98M | 0% |
| Q1 2026 | $87.2M | +1088% |
| Q4 2025 | $76.2M | +116% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.3M | +$57.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $98M | +$134.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $7.3M | 0% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.3M | 0% |
| Q3 2024 | -$43.4M | $0 |
ATS generated $276M in free cash flow over the past year, up 183% from the year before.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
ATS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.5% | +1.4M shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +144K shares |
| 3 years | +3.5% | +3.4M shares |
| 5 years | +6.5% | +6M shares |
| Available history | +6.5% | +6M shares |
ATS has 98M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $7M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $6.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $7M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $10.3M |
ATS spent $14M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 21% from the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over ATS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
ATS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.0x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.2x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 3.8x | Elevated |
ATS's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over ATS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ATS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 5.5 | Oversold |
ATS's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ATS PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ATS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 51x | 24x | 113% above |
| PE % | 78 | 58 | 20 pts above |
ATS is trading at 51x earnings, a 113% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.1% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT has the edge over ATS on valuation relative to its sector.
ATS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $18.1 | 5% below |
| 20 week MA | $21.0 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $26.4 | 35% below |
| 100 week MA | $27.1 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $32.1 | 47% below |
ATS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over ATS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ATS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.6 | $17.8 | +7% |
| 2021 | $17.8 | $39.4 | +122% |
| 2022 | $39.4 | $32.8 | -17% |
| 2023 | $32.8 | $43.1 | +31% |
| 2024 | $43.1 | $30.0 | -30% |
| 2025 | $30.0 | $28.4 | -5.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $28.4 | $17.2 | -40% |
ATS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over ATS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.