ATR

AptarGroup, Inc.

56
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential19/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

ATR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over ATR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

ATR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Healthy

ATR's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ATR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x25x37x49x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x25x37x49x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$142—
Cheap24x$100-29%
Fair32x$131-7.7%
Current34x$142—
Expensive35x$145+2.1%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ATR has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ATR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ATR, with profitability improving.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

ATR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+7%$151.61
Downside-30%$99.10

Calculated from the latest close: $141.72 on Nov 12.

ATR trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ATR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ATR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.25Q1 2024: $4.66Q2 2024: $4.76Q3 2024: $4.98Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $5.47Q2 2025: $5.80Q3 2025: $6.24Q4 2025: $5.89Q1 2026: $5.84Q2 2026: $5.53Q3 2026: $4.12Forward: $6.08
Q4 2023: $4.25Q1 2024: $4.66Q2 2024: $4.76Q3 2024: $4.98Q4 2024: $5.53Q1 2025: $5.47Q2 2025: $5.80Q3 2025: $6.24Q4 2025: $5.89Q1 2026: $5.84Q2 2026: $5.53Q3 2026: $4.12Forward: $6.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.08+48%
Q3 2026$4.12-34%
Q2 2026$5.53-4.7%
Q1 2026$5.84+6.8%
Q4 2025$5.89+6.5%
Q3 2025$6.24+25%
Q2 2025$5.80+22%
Q1 2025$5.47+17%
Q4 2024$5.53+30%

ATR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.12 over the past year, against $6.24 in late 2025.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over ATR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ATR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $838MQ1 2024: $915MQ2 2024: $910MQ3 2024: $909MQ4 2024: $848MQ1 2025: $887MQ2 2025: $966MQ3 2025: $961MQ4 2025: $963MQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $838MQ1 2024: $915MQ2 2024: $910MQ3 2024: $909MQ4 2024: $848MQ1 2025: $887MQ2 2025: $966MQ3 2025: $961MQ4 2025: $963MQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+6%
Q2 2026$1B+6.3%
Q1 2026$982.9M+11%
Q4 2025$962.7M+14%
Q3 2025$961.1M+5.7%
Q2 2025$966M+6.1%
Q1 2025$887.3M-3.1%
Q4 2024$848.1M+1.1%

ATR's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 6% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over ATR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ATR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $112MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $46MQ3 2026: $99M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $112MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $97MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $46MQ3 2026: $99M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$98.6M-14%
Q2 2026$45.9M-27%
Q1 2026$53.3M+106%
Q4 2025$96.9M-14%
Q3 2025$114.3M-30%
Q2 2025$62.5M-17%
Q1 2025$25.9M+55%
Q4 2024$112.2M-19%

ATR's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $295M over the past year, down 6.4% from the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over ATR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ATR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-61K shares
1 year-3.7%-2.5M shares
3 years-4.3%-2.9M shares
5 years-5.4%-3.7M shares
Available history-3.1%-2M shares

ATR has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

ATR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

ATR's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over ATR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ATR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.9Neutral
Stochastic78.5Neutral

ATR's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ATR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricATRSector medianRelative
PE34x26x33% above
PE %802951 pts above

ATR has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

ATR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$129.69.4% above
20 week MA$130.09% above
50 week MA$127.111% above
100 week MA$135.94.3% above
200 week MA$135.34.8% above

ATR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 4.8% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

ATR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$115.0$135.7+18%
2021$135.7$116.3-14%
2022$116.3$110.0-5.4%
2023$110.0$123.6+12%
2024$123.6$158.2+28%
2025$158.2$123.3-22%
2026 YTD$123.3$141.7+15%

ATR has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over ATR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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