ATEC

Alphatec Holdings, Inc.

55
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

ATEC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over ATEC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

ATEC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

ATEC's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ATEC PE Valuation

ATEC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ATEC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ATEC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

ATEC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$11.72
Downside-39%$4.29

Calculated from the latest close: $7.06 on Nov 12.

ATEC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails ATEC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ATEC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.54Q1 2024: $-1.48Q2 2024: $-1.34Q3 2024: $-1.27Q4 2024: $-1.13Q1 2025: $-1.14Q2 2025: $-1.12Q3 2025: $-1.03Q4 2025: $-0.96Q1 2026: $-0.83Q2 2026: $-0.72Q3 2026: $-0.56Forward: $0.50
Q4 2023: $-1.54Q1 2024: $-1.48Q2 2024: $-1.34Q3 2024: $-1.27Q4 2024: $-1.13Q1 2025: $-1.14Q2 2025: $-1.12Q3 2025: $-1.03Q4 2025: $-0.96Q1 2026: $-0.83Q2 2026: $-0.72Q3 2026: $-0.56Forward: $0.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.50—
Q3 2026-$0.56+$0.47
Q2 2026-$0.72+$0.40
Q1 2026-$0.83+$0.31
Q4 2025-$0.96+$0.17
Q3 2025-$1.03+$0.24
Q2 2025-$1.12+$0.22
Q1 2025-$1.14+$0.34
Q4 2024-$1.13+$0.41

ATEC is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.56 per share over the past year, against $1.67 at its worst in early 2022.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over ATEC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ATEC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $138MQ2 2024: $146MQ3 2024: $151MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $169MQ2 2025: $186MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $213MQ1 2026: $192MQ2 2026: $214MQ3 2026: $221M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $138MQ2 2024: $146MQ3 2024: $151MQ4 2024: $177MQ1 2025: $169MQ2 2025: $186MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $213MQ1 2026: $192MQ2 2026: $214MQ3 2026: $221M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$221.2M+13%
Q2 2026$213.5M+15%
Q1 2026$192.1M+14%
Q4 2025$212.9M+20%
Q3 2025$196.5M+30%
Q2 2025$185.5M+27%
Q1 2025$169.2M+22%
Q4 2024$176.8M+28%

ATEC's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $221M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over ATEC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ATEC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$51MQ1 2024: −$70MQ2 2024: −$45MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $582,000Q3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: −$51MQ1 2024: −$70MQ2 2024: −$45MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $582,000Q3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.6M+16%
Q2 2026$582K-89%
Q1 2026-$10.8M+$4.2M
Q4 2025$7.7M-9.7%
Q3 2025$4.8M+$26M
Q2 2025$5.2M+$50.7M
Q1 2025-$15M+$54.8M
Q4 2024$8.5M+$59.3M

ATEC has burned cash in most quarters: $3M over the past year, down 15% from the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $4.1B over the past year.

ATEC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 121MQ1 2024: 141MQ2 2024: 143MQ3 2024: 143MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 150MQ3 2025: 151MQ4 2025: 150MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 157M
Q4 2023: 121MQ1 2024: 141MQ2 2024: 143MQ3 2024: 143MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 150MQ3 2025: 151MQ4 2025: 150MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 157M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+801K shares
1 year+3.9%+6M shares
3 years+29%+34.9M shares
5 years+58%+57.8M shares
Available history+201%+105M shares

ATEC has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

ATEC Net Leverage

Q1 2026: 64.7xQ2 2026: 27.3xQ3 2026: 12.1x
Q1 2026: 64.7xQ2 2026: 27.3xQ3 2026: 12.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202612.1xHigh
Q2 202627.3xHigh
Q1 202664.7xHigh

ATEC's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over ATEC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ATEC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

ATEC's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ATEC PE vs Healthcare Sector

ATEC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

ATEC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.2424% below
20 week MA$9.3524% below
50 week MA$11.739% below
100 week MA$12.343% below
200 week MA$12.443% below

ATEC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 43% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over ATEC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ATEC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.09$14.1+99%
2021$14.1$12.4-12%
2022$12.4$11.7-5.4%
2023$11.7$15.1+29%
2024$15.1$9.19-39%
2025$9.19$21.0+128%
2026 YTD$21.0$7.06-66%

ATEC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 66% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over ATEC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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