ATAT

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited

69
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ATAT has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ATAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

ATAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

ATAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE49x99x148x198x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE49x99x148x198x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$36.87—
Cheap18x$37.84+2.6%
Fair25x$53.81+46%
Expensive45x$95.80+160%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ATAT's PE is 17x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over ATAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ATAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ATAT, with profitability holding steady.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ATAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$45.67
Downside-19%$29.96

Calculated from the latest close: $36.87 on Nov 12.

ATAT trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ATAT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ATAT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.71Q2 2024: $0.78Q3 2024: $0.92Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.36Q2 2025: $1.49Q3 2025: $1.58Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.98Q2 2026: $2.12
Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.71Q2 2024: $0.78Q3 2024: $0.92Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.36Q2 2025: $1.49Q3 2025: $1.58Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.98Q2 2026: $2.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.12+42%
Q1 2026$1.98+46%
Q4 2025$1.74+46%
Q3 2025$1.58+72%
Q2 2025$1.49+91%
Q1 2025$1.36+92%
Q4 2024$1.19+86%
Q3 2024$0.92+100%

ATAT has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

ATAT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $194MQ4 2023: $226MQ1 2024: $220MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $313MQ1 2025: $286MQ2 2025: $370MQ3 2025: $394MQ4 2025: $418MQ1 2026: $422MQ2 2026: $522M
Q3 2023: $194MQ4 2023: $226MQ1 2024: $220MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $313MQ1 2025: $286MQ2 2025: $370MQ3 2025: $394MQ4 2025: $418MQ1 2026: $422MQ2 2026: $522M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$522.3M+41%
Q1 2026$421.9M+48%
Q4 2025$418.4M+34%
Q3 2025$394.4M+38%
Q2 2025$370.5M+37%
Q1 2025$286M+30%
Q4 2024$312.8M+38%
Q3 2024$284.9M+47%

ATAT has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

ATAT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $123M
Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $123M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$123.4M+12%
Q1 2026$43M+$45.6M
Q4 2025$85.2M-0.9%
Q3 2025$90.8M+48%
Q2 2025$110.7M+33%
Q1 2025-$2.6M-113%
Q4 2024$86M+3.4%
Q3 2024$61.3M-24%

ATAT has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

ATAT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 139MQ4 2023: 415MQ1 2024: 416MQ2 2024: 139MQ3 2024: 139MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 140MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 140MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 137M
Q3 2023: 139MQ4 2023: 415MQ1 2024: 416MQ2 2024: 139MQ3 2024: 139MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 140MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 140MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 137M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.8M shares
1 year-2.2%-3.1M shares
3 years-1%-1.4M shares
5 years+1.2%+1.7M shares
Available history+8.9%+11.2M shares

ATAT has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ATAT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.3xQ4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.9x
Q3 2023: -0.3xQ4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash

ATAT has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ATAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.6Neutral
Stochastic68.9Neutral

ATAT's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

ATAT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricATATSector medianRelative
PE17x18x3.5% below
PE %114635 pts below

ATAT has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ATAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.510% above
20 week MA$33.510% above
50 week MA$35.82.9% above
100 week MA$34.18.3% above
200 week MA$27.136% above

ATAT has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

ATAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$12.9$18.5+44%
2023$18.5$17.4-6.2%
2024$17.4$27.0+56%
2025$27.0$41.7+55%
2026 YTD$41.7$36.9-12%

ATAT has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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