ATAT

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited

69
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ATAT has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ATAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

ATAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ATAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE49x99x148x198x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE49x99x148x198x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current17x$36.87—
Cheap18x$37.84+2.6%
Fair25x$53.81+46%
Expensive45x$95.80+160%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ATAT's PE is 17x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ATAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ATAT, with profitability holding steady.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ATAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$45.67
Downside-19%$29.96

Calculated from the latest close: $36.87 on Nov 12.

ATAT trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ATAT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ATAT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.71Q2 2024: $0.78Q3 2024: $0.92Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.36Q2 2025: $1.49Q3 2025: $1.58Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.98Q2 2026: $2.12
Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.64Q1 2024: $0.71Q2 2024: $0.78Q3 2024: $0.92Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.36Q2 2025: $1.49Q3 2025: $1.58Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.98Q2 2026: $2.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.12+42%
Q1 2026$1.98+46%
Q4 2025$1.74+46%
Q3 2025$1.58+72%
Q2 2025$1.49+91%
Q1 2025$1.36+92%
Q4 2024$1.19+86%
Q3 2024$0.92+100%

ATAT has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ATAT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $194MQ4 2023: $226MQ1 2024: $220MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $313MQ1 2025: $286MQ2 2025: $370MQ3 2025: $394MQ4 2025: $418MQ1 2026: $422MQ2 2026: $522M
Q3 2023: $194MQ4 2023: $226MQ1 2024: $220MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $313MQ1 2025: $286MQ2 2025: $370MQ3 2025: $394MQ4 2025: $418MQ1 2026: $422MQ2 2026: $522M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$522.3M+41%
Q1 2026$421.9M+48%
Q4 2025$418.4M+34%
Q3 2025$394.4M+38%
Q2 2025$370.5M+37%
Q1 2025$286M+30%
Q4 2024$312.8M+38%
Q3 2024$284.9M+47%

ATAT has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

ATAT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $123M
Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $84MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $123M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$123.4M+12%
Q1 2026$43M+$45.6M
Q4 2025$85.2M-0.9%
Q3 2025$90.8M+48%
Q2 2025$110.7M+33%
Q1 2025-$2.6M-113%
Q4 2024$86M+3.4%
Q3 2024$61.3M-24%

ATAT generated $342M in free cash flow over the past year, up 34% from the year before.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

ATAT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 139MQ4 2023: 415MQ1 2024: 416MQ2 2024: 139MQ3 2024: 139MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 140MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 140MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 137M
Q3 2023: 139MQ4 2023: 415MQ1 2024: 416MQ2 2024: 139MQ3 2024: 139MQ4 2024: 140MQ1 2025: 140MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 140MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 137M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.8M shares
1 year-2.2%-3.1M shares
3 years-1%-1.4M shares
5 years+1.2%+1.7M shares
Available history+8.9%+11.2M shares

ATAT has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

ATAT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.3xQ4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.9x
Q3 2023: -0.3xQ4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash

ATAT has more cash than debt.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over ATAT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ATAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.6Neutral
Stochastic68.9Neutral

ATAT's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

ATAT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricATATSector medianRelative
PE17x18x3.5% below
PE %114635 pts below

ATAT is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ATAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.510% above
20 week MA$33.510% above
50 week MA$35.82.9% above
100 week MA$34.18.3% above
200 week MA$27.136% above

ATAT has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

ATAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$12.9$18.5+44%
2023$18.5$17.4-6.2%
2024$17.4$27.0+56%
2025$27.0$41.7+55%
2026 YTD$41.7$36.9-12%

ATAT has finished higher in three of the last four years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over ATAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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