ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ZS

Zscaler, Inc.

63
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

ZS has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ZS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

ZS's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ZS PE Valuation

ZS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ZS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Broad
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ZS, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ZS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ZS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$314.55
Downside-37%$122.23

Calculated from the latest close: $193.22 on Nov 12.

ZS trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

ZS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.15Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-0.50Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.24Q1 2025: $-0.10Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.26Q1 2026: $-0.42Q2 2026: $-0.48Q3 2026: $-0.39Forward: $5.04
Q4 2023: $-1.15Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-0.50Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.24Q1 2025: $-0.10Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.26Q1 2026: $-0.42Q2 2026: $-0.48Q3 2026: $-0.39Forward: $5.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.04—
Q3 2026-$0.39-$0.12
Q2 2026-$0.48-$0.23
Q1 2026-$0.42-$0.32
Q4 2025-$0.26-$0.02
Q3 2025-$0.27+$0.12
Q2 2025-$0.25+$0.25
Q1 2025-$0.10+$0.84
Q4 2024-$0.24+$0.91

ZS has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

ZS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $497MQ1 2024: $525MQ2 2024: $553MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $628MQ1 2025: $648MQ2 2025: $678MQ3 2025: $719MQ4 2025: $788MQ1 2026: $816MQ2 2026: $850MQ3 2026: $898M
Q4 2023: $497MQ1 2024: $525MQ2 2024: $553MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $628MQ1 2025: $648MQ2 2025: $678MQ3 2025: $719MQ4 2025: $788MQ1 2026: $816MQ2 2026: $850MQ3 2026: $898M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$898.2M+25%
Q2 2026$850.5M+25%
Q1 2026$815.8M+26%
Q4 2025$788.1M+26%
Q3 2025$719.2M+21%
Q2 2025$678M+23%
Q1 2025$647.9M+23%
Q4 2024$628M+26%

ZS's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $898M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ZS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $232MQ1 2024: $111MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $154MQ4 2024: $314MQ1 2025: $164MQ2 2025: $139MQ3 2025: $191MQ4 2025: $431MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $156MQ3 2026: $79M
Q4 2023: $232MQ1 2024: $111MQ2 2024: $138MQ3 2024: $154MQ4 2024: $314MQ1 2025: $164MQ2 2025: $139MQ3 2025: $191MQ4 2025: $431MQ1 2026: $186MQ2 2026: $156MQ3 2026: $79M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$79.4M-58%
Q2 2026$155.6M+12%
Q1 2026$186.3M+13%
Q4 2025$431M+37%
Q3 2025$190.6M+24%
Q2 2025$138.9M+0.8%
Q1 2025$164.4M+48%
Q4 2024$314.3M+35%

ZS has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ZS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 148MQ1 2024: 149MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 153MQ1 2025: 154MQ2 2025: 155MQ3 2025: 154MQ4 2025: 159MQ1 2026: 160MQ2 2026: 161MQ3 2026: 160M
Q4 2023: 148MQ1 2024: 149MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 153MQ1 2025: 154MQ2 2025: 155MQ3 2025: 154MQ4 2025: 159MQ1 2026: 160MQ2 2026: 161MQ3 2026: 160M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-522K shares
1 year+3.8%+5.8M shares
3 years+11%+15.3M shares
5 years+18%+24.6M shares
Available history+26%+32.7M shares

ZS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ZS Net Leverage

ZS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ZS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.1Neutral
Stochastic49.0Neutral

ZS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ZS PE vs Technology Sector

ZS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

ZS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$214.39.8% below
20 week MA$184.74.6% above
50 week MA$175.410% above
100 week MA$214.19.7% below
200 week MA$192.30.5% above

ZS has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

ZS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.6$205.3+331%
2021$205.3$323.0+57%
2022$323.0$108.8-66%
2023$108.8$221.6+104%
2024$221.6$184.6-17%
2025$184.6$230.5+25%
2026 YTD$230.5$193.2-16%

ZS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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