ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
XYZ
Block, Inc.
XYZ has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
XYZ Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
XYZ's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
XYZ PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $12.08 | -85% |
| Forward | 16x | $82.26 | — |
| Fair | 93x | $69.03 | -16% |
| Current | 111x | $82.26 | — |
| Expensive | 316x | $233 | +184% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
XYZ's PE is in its fair range at 111x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
XYZ Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for XYZ, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
XYZ Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.04 | +581% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.74 | -85% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.56 | -88% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.28 | -69% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.10 | -54% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.97 | +176% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.68 | +260% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.12 | +422% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.56 | +22700% |
XYZ has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over XYZ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
XYZ Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.7B | +9.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.6B | +9.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.1B | +4.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.3B | +3.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.1B | +2.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.1B | -1.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.8B | -3.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $6B | +4.5% |
XYZ's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $6.7B last quarter, up 9.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.4% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.8% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8% | -8.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.8% | +7.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.7% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8% | +3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.7% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2% | +2.5 points |
XYZ has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
XYZ Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $972M | -31% |
| Q2 2026 | $966.6M | +182% |
| Q1 2026 | $935M | +822% |
| Q4 2025 | $579.8M | +$593M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +123% |
| Q2 2025 | $343M | -29% |
| Q1 2025 | $101.5M | -78% |
| Q4 2024 | -$13.2M | +$836.4M |
XYZ has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
XYZ Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +5.9M shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +3.5M shares |
| 5 years | +22% | +111M shares |
| Available history | +32% | +149M shares |
XYZ has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $64.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $636M |
| Q4 2025 | $790.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $403M |
| Q2 2025 | $692.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $445.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $183.2M |
XYZ spent $1.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 13% from the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
XYZ Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
XYZ has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
XYZ Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 55.5 | Neutral |
XYZ's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
XYZ PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | XYZ | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 111x | 28x | 299% above |
| PE % | 52 | 35 | 17 pts above |
XYZ is trading at 111x earnings, a 299% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
XYZ Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $78.3 | 5.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $79.3 | 3.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $71.0 | 16% above |
| 100 week MA | $70.6 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.1 | 19% above |
XYZ has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
XYZ Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $63.8 | $228.3 | +258% |
| 2021 | $228.3 | $167.7 | -27% |
| 2022 | $167.7 | $60.9 | -64% |
| 2023 | $60.9 | $77.4 | +27% |
| 2024 | $77.4 | $89.0 | +15% |
| 2025 | $89.0 | $66.3 | -26% |
| 2026 YTD | $66.3 | $82.3 | +24% |
XYZ has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.