ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

WEX

WEX Inc.

72
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation84/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

WEX has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WEX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Weak
Weak

WEX's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WEX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE40x80x120x161x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE40x80x120x161x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.9x$179—
Current15x$179—
Cheap19x$215+20%
Fair28x$329+83%
Expensive53x$610+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WEX's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.9x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WEX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WEX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails WEX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WEX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$247.09
Downside-13%$156.37

Calculated from the latest close: $179.49 on Nov 12.

WEX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

WEX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.16Q1 2024: $6.15Q2 2024: $5.78Q3 2024: $7.88Q4 2024: $7.50Q1 2025: $7.76Q2 2025: $7.91Q3 2025: $7.69Q4 2025: $8.47Q1 2026: $8.88Q2 2026: $10.01Q3 2026: $11.59Forward: $22.68
Q4 2023: $6.16Q1 2024: $6.15Q2 2024: $5.78Q3 2024: $7.88Q4 2024: $7.50Q1 2025: $7.76Q2 2025: $7.91Q3 2025: $7.69Q4 2025: $8.47Q1 2026: $8.88Q2 2026: $10.01Q3 2026: $11.59Forward: $22.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.68+96%
Q3 2026$11.59+51%
Q2 2026$10.01+27%
Q1 2026$8.88+14%
Q4 2025$8.47+13%
Q3 2025$7.69-2.4%
Q2 2025$7.91+37%
Q1 2025$7.76+26%
Q4 2024$7.50+22%

WEX has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over WEX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WEX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $663MQ1 2024: $653MQ2 2024: $674MQ3 2024: $666MQ4 2024: $637MQ1 2025: $637MQ2 2025: $660MQ3 2025: $692MQ4 2025: $673MQ1 2026: $674MQ2 2026: $754MQ3 2026: $780M
Q4 2023: $663MQ1 2024: $653MQ2 2024: $674MQ3 2024: $666MQ4 2024: $637MQ1 2025: $637MQ2 2025: $660MQ3 2025: $692MQ4 2025: $673MQ1 2026: $674MQ2 2026: $754MQ3 2026: $780M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$780.1M+13%
Q2 2026$753.5M+14%
Q1 2026$673.8M+5.8%
Q4 2025$672.9M+5.7%
Q3 2025$691.8M+4%
Q2 2025$659.6M-2.1%
Q1 2025$636.6M-2.5%
Q4 2024$636.5M-4%

WEX's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $780M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

WEX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $720MQ1 2024: −$187MQ2 2024: −$47MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $600MQ1 2025: −$514MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $342MQ4 2025: $236MQ1 2026: −$368MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: −$58M
Q4 2023: $720MQ1 2024: −$187MQ2 2024: −$47MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $600MQ1 2025: −$514MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $342MQ4 2025: $236MQ1 2026: −$368MQ2 2026: −$121MQ3 2026: −$58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$58.2M-117%
Q2 2026-$121.1M-153%
Q1 2026-$368.3M+$145.9M
Q4 2025$236.1M-61%
Q3 2025$341.6M+$373.3M
Q2 2025$230M+$276.6M
Q1 2025-$514.2M-$326.9M
Q4 2024$599.7M-17%

WEX has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

WEX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-200K shares
3 years-20%-8.8M shares
5 years-24%-10.7M shares
Available history-21%-9.2M shares

WEX has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WEX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 5.3xQ2 2025: 5.1xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 4.7x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.9xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: 5.3xQ2 2025: 5.1xQ3 2025: 4.6xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 4.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.7xHigh
Q2 20264.4xHigh
Q1 20265.0xHigh
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20254.6xHigh
Q2 20255.1xHigh
Q1 20255.3xHigh
Q4 20244.0xHigh

WEX's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

WEX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.2Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

WEX's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WEX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricWEXSector medianRelative
PE15x28x44% below
PE %13534 pts below

WEX is trading at 15x earnings, a 44% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

WEX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$180.70.7% below
20 week MA$181.51.1% below
50 week MA$163.99.5% above
100 week MA$158.913% above
200 week MA$175.32.4% above

WEX has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

WEX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$209.4$203.5-2.8%
2021$203.5$137.6-32%
2022$137.6$161.9+18%
2023$161.9$194.6+20%
2024$194.6$173.1-11%
2025$173.1$153.1-12%
2026 YTD$153.1$179.5+17%

WEX has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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