ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VYX

NCR Voyix Corporation

59
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

VYX has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VYX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure

VYX's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VYX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE83x166x248x331x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE83x166x248x331x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2x$1.45-85%
Forward9.5x$9.96—
Current14x$9.96—
Fair22x$15.83+59%
Expensive68x$49.30+395%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VYX's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.5x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VYX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Decline
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VYX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails VYX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VYX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$15.00
Downside-22%$7.73

Calculated from the latest close: $9.96 on Nov 12.

VYX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

VYX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.04Q1 2024: $-3.39Q2 2024: $-4.03Q3 2024: $4.29Q4 2024: $6.47Q1 2025: $6.63Q2 2025: $7.13Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $0.30Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $1.05
Q4 2023: $-3.04Q1 2024: $-3.39Q2 2024: $-4.03Q3 2024: $4.29Q4 2024: $6.47Q1 2025: $6.63Q2 2025: $7.13Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $0.30Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $1.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.05+45%
Q3 2026$0.72+$1.16
Q2 2026$0.41-94%
Q1 2026$0.39-94%
Q4 2025$0.30-95%
Q3 2025-$0.44-110%
Q2 2025$7.13+$11.16
Q1 2025$6.63+$10.02
Q4 2024$6.47+$9.51

VYX has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over VYX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VYX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $963MQ1 2024: $862MQ2 2024: $876MQ3 2024: $711MQ4 2024: $682MQ1 2025: $617MQ2 2025: $666MQ3 2025: $684MQ4 2025: $720MQ1 2026: $606MQ2 2026: $523MQ3 2026: $539M
Q4 2023: $963MQ1 2024: $862MQ2 2024: $876MQ3 2024: $711MQ4 2024: $682MQ1 2025: $617MQ2 2025: $666MQ3 2025: $684MQ4 2025: $720MQ1 2026: $606MQ2 2026: $523MQ3 2026: $539M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$539M-21%
Q2 2026$523M-21%
Q1 2026$606M-1.8%
Q4 2025$720M+5.6%
Q3 2025$684M-3.8%
Q2 2025$666M-24%
Q1 2025$617M-28%
Q4 2024$682M-29%

VYX's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $539M last quarter, down 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

VYX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$52MQ1 2024: −$43MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: −$177MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: −$249MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: −$86MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$24MQ3 2026: −$20M
Q4 2023: −$52MQ1 2024: −$43MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: −$177MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: −$249MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: −$86MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: −$24MQ3 2026: −$20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$20M-300%
Q2 2026-$24M+$225M
Q1 2026$6M+$56M
Q4 2025-$86M+$91M
Q3 2025$10M+11%
Q2 2025-$249M-608%
Q1 2025-$50M-$7M
Q4 2024-$177M-$125M

VYX has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

VYX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 144MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 140MQ2 2025: 138MQ3 2025: 138MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 140M
Q4 2023: 141MQ1 2024: 144MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 140MQ2 2025: 138MQ3 2025: 138MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 138MQ3 2026: 140M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+2M shares
1 year+1.2%+1.6M shares
3 years-0.8%-1.1M shares
5 years+1.5%+2M shares
Available history-3.7%-5.4M shares

VYX has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VYX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 2.0xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.1x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 2.0xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.1xElevated
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20252.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

VYX's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

VYX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.3Neutral
Stochastic69.5Neutral

VYX's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VYX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVYXSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %3535Same percentile

VYX is trading at 14x earnings, a 50% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

VYX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.1422% above
20 week MA$8.1822% above
50 week MA$8.2521% above
100 week MA$9.980.2% below
200 week MA$12.319% below

VYX has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

VYX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.5$22.4+4.4%
2021$22.4$24.1+7.5%
2022$24.1$14.2-41%
2023$14.2$16.9+19%
2024$16.9$13.9-18%
2025$13.9$10.5-24%
2026 YTD$10.5$9.96-5.5%

VYX has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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