ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

VTEX

Vtex

75
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VTEX has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VTEX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

VTEX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VTEX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE115x230x344x459x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE115x230x344x459x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$3.94—
Current23x$3.94—
Cheap29x$4.99+27%
Fair72x$12.19+209%
Expensive137x$23.24+490%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VTEX's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VTEX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VTEX, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails VTEX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VTEX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$5.56
Downside-17%$3.27

Calculated from the latest close: $3.94 on Nov 12.

VTEX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

VTEX Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.09Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.04Q2 2024: $0.02Q3 2024: $0.05Q4 2024: $0.06Q1 2025: $0.08Q2 2025: $0.07Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.11Q1 2026: $0.13Q2 2026: $0.17Forward: $0.22
Q3 2023: $-0.09Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.04Q2 2024: $0.02Q3 2024: $0.05Q4 2024: $0.06Q1 2025: $0.08Q2 2025: $0.07Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.11Q1 2026: $0.13Q2 2026: $0.17Forward: $0.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.22+31%
Q2 2026$0.17+143%
Q1 2026$0.13+63%
Q4 2025$0.11+83%
Q3 2025$0.09+80%
Q2 2025$0.07+250%
Q1 2025$0.08+$0.12
Q4 2024$0.06+$0.13
Q3 2024$0.05+$0.14

VTEX has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

VTEX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $51MQ4 2023: $61MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $60MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $64M
Q3 2023: $51MQ4 2023: $61MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $60MQ4 2025: $68MQ1 2026: $61MQ2 2026: $64M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$64.4M+9.5%
Q1 2026$60.7M+12%
Q4 2025$68M+10%
Q3 2025$59.6M+6.5%
Q2 2025$58.8M+4%
Q1 2025$54.2M+2.9%
Q4 2024$61.5M+1.3%
Q3 2024$56M+11%

VTEX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $64M last quarter, up 9.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

VTEX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $13M
Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$13.3M+86%
Q1 2026$13.3M+100%
Q4 2025$11.1M-11%
Q3 2025$7.5M-9.4%
Q2 2025$7.1M+141%
Q1 2025$6.6M+325%
Q4 2024$12.4M+31%
Q3 2024$8.3M+210%

VTEX has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

VTEX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 186MQ4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 192MQ3 2024: 192MQ4 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 189MQ2 2025: 187MQ3 2025: 187MQ4 2025: 181MQ1 2026: 171MQ2 2026: 171M
Q3 2023: 186MQ4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 192MQ3 2024: 192MQ4 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 189MQ2 2025: 187MQ3 2025: 187MQ4 2025: 181MQ1 2026: 171MQ2 2026: 171M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-8.9%-16.6M shares
3 years-8.7%-16.2M shares
5 years-8.8%-16.4M shares
Available history-8.8%-16.4M shares

VTEX has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VTEX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -31.5xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: -31.5xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash

VTEX has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

VTEX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.7Neutral
Stochastic47.1Neutral

VTEX's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VTEX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVTEXSector medianRelative
PE23x28x17% below
PE %04444 pts below

VTEX is trading at 23x earnings, a 17% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

VTEX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.940% above
20 week MA$3.910.8% above
50 week MA$3.764.8% above
100 week MA$4.5213% below
200 week MA$5.3026% below

VTEX has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

VTEX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$25.4$11.7-54%
2022$11.7$3.42-71%
2023$3.42$6.88+101%
2024$6.88$5.75-16%
2025$5.75$3.71-35%
2026 YTD$3.71$3.94+6.2%

VTEX has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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