ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over VISN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

VISN

Vistance Networks, Inc.

33
Fundamentals26/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential62/ 100

VISN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VISN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
Weak
Strong

VISN's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are weak.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VISN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.6x3.2x4.8x6.4x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.6x3.2x4.8x6.4x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current0.1x$4.00—
Cheap0.4x$12.74+219%
Fair2x$72.02+1700%
Expensive5.8x$203+4964%
Forward6.7x$4.00—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VISN's PE is in its cheap range at 0.1x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 6.7x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VISN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VISN's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VISN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VISN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$6.19
Downside-62%$1.54

Calculated from the latest close: $4.00 on Nov 12.

VISN trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

VISN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.17Q1 2024: $-8.88Q2 2024: $-8.20Q3 2024: $-4.45Q4 2024: $-1.90Q1 2025: $2.75Q2 2025: $2.68Q3 2025: $3.30Q4 2025: $9.63Q1 2026: $29.90Q2 2026: $31.05Q3 2026: $35.20Forward: $0.59
Q4 2023: $-7.17Q1 2024: $-8.88Q2 2024: $-8.20Q3 2024: $-4.45Q4 2024: $-1.90Q1 2025: $2.75Q2 2025: $2.68Q3 2025: $3.30Q4 2025: $9.63Q1 2026: $29.90Q2 2026: $31.05Q3 2026: $35.20Forward: $0.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.59-98%
Q3 2026$35.20+967%
Q2 2026$31.05+1059%
Q1 2026$29.90+987%
Q4 2025$9.63+$11.53
Q3 2025$3.30+$7.75
Q2 2025$2.68+$10.88
Q1 2025$2.75+$11.63
Q4 2024-$1.90+$5.27

VISN has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over VISN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VISN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $515MQ1 2026: $472MQ2 2026: $320MQ3 2026: $320M
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $515MQ1 2026: $472MQ2 2026: $320MQ3 2026: $320M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$319.7M-80%
Q2 2026$319.6M-77%
Q1 2026$471.8M-58%
Q4 2025$514.5M-56%
Q3 2025$1.6B+51%
Q2 2025$1.4B+0.1%
Q1 2025$1.1B-4.8%
Q4 2024$1.2B-1.4%

VISN's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $320M last quarter, down 80% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

VISN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$184MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $115MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: −$202MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $256MQ1 2026: −$229MQ2 2026: −$75MQ3 2026: −$58M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$184MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $115MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: −$202MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $256MQ1 2026: −$229MQ2 2026: −$75MQ3 2026: −$58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$57.7M-143%
Q2 2026-$74.8M-216%
Q1 2026-$228.8M-$26.4M
Q4 2025$255.5M-5.6%
Q3 2025$135M+17%
Q2 2025$64.5M+42%
Q1 2025-$202.4M-$18.7M
Q4 2024$270.6M+431%

VISN has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

VISN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 211MQ1 2024: 212MQ2 2024: 216MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 214MQ1 2025: 272MQ2 2025: 227MQ3 2025: 278MQ4 2025: 230MQ1 2026: 238MQ2 2026: 234MQ3 2026: 227M
Q4 2023: 211MQ1 2024: 212MQ2 2024: 216MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 214MQ1 2025: 272MQ2 2025: 227MQ3 2025: 278MQ4 2025: 230MQ1 2026: 238MQ2 2026: 234MQ3 2026: 227M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3%-6.9M shares
1 year-18%-50.8M shares
3 years+9.4%+19.5M shares
5 years+16%+32M shares

VISN has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VISN Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 13.8xQ4 2024: 11.0xQ1 2025: 7.7xQ2 2025: 7.3xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -4.1x
Q3 2024: 13.8xQ4 2024: 11.0xQ1 2025: 7.7xQ2 2025: 7.3xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: -3.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.2xNet Cash
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20257.3xHigh
Q1 20257.7xHigh
Q4 202411.0xHigh

VISN has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

VISN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI21.6Oversold
Stochastic5.0Oversold

VISN's weekly RSI is 22 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VISN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVISNSector medianRelative
PE0.1x28x100% below
PE %03535 pts below

VISN is trading at 0.1x earnings, a 100% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over VISN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VISN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.8031% below
20 week MA$8.3052% below
50 week MA$13.370% below
100 week MA$11.365% below
200 week MA$7.5047% below

VISN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over VISN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VISN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.0$13.1-6%
2021$13.1$10.8-17%
2022$10.8$7.11-34%
2023$7.11$2.82-60%
2024$2.82$5.51+95%
2025$5.51$18.3+231%
2026 YTD$18.3$4.00-78%

VISN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +231% in 2025 to −60% in 2023. It's down 78% so far in 2026.

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