ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to grow, though they disagree widely on how much.

VIP

Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc. Class A

There isn't enough reported data to score VIP yet.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VIP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Weak
Weak

VIP's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.5x$0.49-48%
Fair4.5x$0.63-32%
Current6.7x$0.94โ€”
Expensive12x$1.71+82%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIP's PE is 6.7x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VIP Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for VIP to show an outlook.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and VIP's risk to reward.

VIP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.94 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and VIP's risk to reward.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

VIP Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-32.88Q4 2023: $-3.27Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-2.53Q3 2024: $-1.17Q4 2024: $-1.88Q1 2025: $-1.86Q2 2025: $-1.57Q3 2025: $-0.22Q4 2025: $0.34Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.14
Q3 2023: $-32.88Q4 2023: $-3.27Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-2.53Q3 2024: $-1.17Q4 2024: $-1.88Q1 2025: $-1.86Q2 2025: $-1.57Q3 2025: $-0.22Q4 2025: $0.34Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.14+$1.71
Q1 2026$0.45+$2.31
Q4 2025$0.34+$2.22
Q3 2025-$0.22+$0.95
Q2 2025-$1.57+$0.96
Q1 2025-$1.86+$1.68
Q4 2024-$1.88+$1.39
Q3 2024-$1.17+$31.71

VIP has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over VIP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $21MQ4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $3M
Q3 2023: $21MQ4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $3M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.4M-74%
Q1 2026$20.8M+8.3%
Q4 2025$11.5M-23%
Q3 2025$15.2M+23%
Q2 2025$12.9M-1.5%
Q1 2025$19.2M-0.5%
Q4 2024$14.8M-25%
Q3 2024$12.4M-41%

VIP's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $3M last quarter, down 74% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$1.8B over the past year, against โˆ’$916M the year before.

VIP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: โˆ’$11MQ1 2024: โˆ’$5MQ2 2024: โˆ’$1MQ3 2024: โˆ’$2MQ4 2024: โˆ’$4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$6MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: $120,000Q4 2025: โˆ’$5MQ1 2026: โˆ’$11MQ2 2026: โˆ’$4M
Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: โˆ’$11MQ1 2024: โˆ’$5MQ2 2024: โˆ’$1MQ3 2024: โˆ’$2MQ4 2024: โˆ’$4MQ1 2025: โˆ’$6MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: $120,000Q4 2025: โˆ’$5MQ1 2026: โˆ’$11MQ2 2026: โˆ’$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$4.3M+$456K
Q1 2026-$11.4M-$5.7M
Q4 2025-$4.6M-$709K
Q3 2025$120K+$1.9M
Q2 2025-$4.8M-$3.4M
Q1 2025-$5.7M-$736K
Q4 2024-$3.9M+$7.4M
Q3 2024-$1.8M-198%

VIP has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over VIP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VIP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 17M
Q3 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+1.2M shares
1 year+12%+1.9M shares
3 years-68%-36.3M shares

VIP has 17M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VIP Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 19.8xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 30.3xQ1 2025: 46.3xQ2 2025: 38.8xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 6.5x
Q2 2024: 19.8xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 30.3xQ1 2025: 46.3xQ2 2025: 38.8xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 6.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20266.5xHigh
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20256.3xHigh
Q2 202538.8xHigh
Q1 202546.3xHigh
Q4 202430.3xHigh
Q3 20247.3xHigh
Q2 202419.8xHigh

VIP's net debt is about 6.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

VIP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.0Neutral
Stochastic1.4Oversold

VIP's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVIPSector medianRelative
PE6.7x28x76% below
PE %594514 pts above

VIP is trading at 6.7x earnings, a 76% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over VIP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VIP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.2927% below
20 week MA$1.6744% below
50 week MA$1.5138% below
100 week MA$1.4535% below
200 week MA$2.7065% below

VIP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to โˆ’54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

VIP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$397.0$196.5-51%
2022$196.5$2.50-99%
2023$2.50$6.71+168%
2024$6.71$1.65-75%
2025$1.65$1.54-6.7%
2026 YTD$1.54$0.94-39%

VIP has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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