ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
VERX
Vertex, Inc.
VERX has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VERX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
VERX's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VERX PE Valuation
VERX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VERX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VERX, with profitability improving.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
VERX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.99 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.28 | +$0.06 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.03 | +$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.04 | +$0.24 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.05 | +$0.38 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.34 | -270% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.32 | -346% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.28 | -660% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.33 | -$0.24 |
VERX has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VERX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $213.3M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $204M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $196.6M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $194.7M | +9.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $192.1M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $184.6M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $177.1M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $178.5M | +15% |
VERX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $213M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1% | -2.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8% | +8.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.3% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2.1% | -6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.5% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -7.3% | -5.7 points |
VERX has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
VERX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $53.2M | +76% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.6M | -46% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.7M | +$19.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $10.1M | -44% |
| Q3 2025 | $30.2M | +64% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.6M | -47% |
| Q1 2025 | -$12.3M | -372% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.9M | -38% |
VERX has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
VERX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +876K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +96.8K shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +10.2M shares |
| 5 years | +9.5% | +14.1M shares |
| Available history | +25% | +32.6M shares |
VERX has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $27.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $26.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $20M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
VERX spent $74M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VERX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
VERX's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
VERX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 89.0 | Overbought |
VERX's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VERX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | VERX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 501x | 28x | 1,697% above |
| PE % | 74 | 37 | 37 pts above |
VERX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
VERX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $14.4 | 23% above |
| 20 week MA | $13.4 | 32% above |
| 50 week MA | $14.3 | 24% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.8 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $26.6 | 33% below |
VERX has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
VERX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $23.6 | $34.1 | +45% |
| 2021 | $34.1 | $17.1 | -50% |
| 2022 | $17.1 | $14.8 | -13% |
| 2023 | $14.8 | $26.9 | +82% |
| 2024 | $26.9 | $52.7 | +96% |
| 2025 | $52.7 | $20.3 | -61% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.3 | $17.8 | -13% |
VERX has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.