ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VECO

Veeco Instruments Inc.

55
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation13/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VECO has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VECO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Healthy

VECO's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VECO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x109x163x218x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x109x163x218x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$40.33—
Cheap18x$7.36-82%
Fair29x$11.70-71%
Expensive86x$34.57-14%
Current101x$40.33—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VECO's PE is in its expensive range at 101x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VECO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VECO, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails VECO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VECO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+74%$70.36
Downside-17%$33.38

Calculated from the latest close: $40.33 on Nov 12.

VECO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

VECO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-0.36Q2 2024: $1.50Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $1.06Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.82Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.38Q2 2026: $0.36Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $2.75
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-0.36Q2 2024: $1.50Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $1.06Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.82Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.38Q2 2026: $0.36Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $2.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.75+587%
Q3 2026$0.40-51%
Q2 2026$0.36-64%
Q1 2026$0.38-64%
Q4 2025$0.59-52%
Q3 2025$0.82-43%
Q2 2025$1.01-33%
Q1 2025$1.06+$1.42
Q4 2024$1.23+$1.79

VECO has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over VECO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VECO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $174MQ1 2024: $174MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $166MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $165MQ1 2026: $158MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $209M
Q4 2023: $174MQ1 2024: $174MQ2 2024: $176MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $166MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $165MQ1 2026: $158MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $209M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$209.4M+26%
Q2 2026$193.5M+16%
Q1 2026$158.3M-5.4%
Q4 2025$165M-9.4%
Q3 2025$165.9M-10%
Q2 2025$166.1M-5.6%
Q1 2025$167.3M-4.1%
Q4 2024$182.1M+4.7%

VECO's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $209M last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

VECO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $54M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $54M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$53.6M+314%
Q2 2026$47.7M+776%
Q1 2026$2.8M-79%
Q4 2025$21.7M-6.7%
Q3 2025$13M-4.9%
Q2 2025$5.4M-1%
Q1 2025$13.2M+293%
Q4 2024$23.2M+24%

VECO has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

VECO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 60MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 61MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 60MQ3 2025: 61MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-628K shares
1 year+8.5%+5.2M shares
3 years+11%+6.5M shares
5 years+23%+12.2M shares
Available history+39%+18.7M shares

VECO has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VECO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

VECO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

VECO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.4Neutral
Stochastic19.7Oversold

VECO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VECO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVECOSector medianRelative
PE101x28x262% above
PE %843549 pts above

VECO is trading at 101x earnings, a 262% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

VECO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.111% below
20 week MA$48.016% below
50 week MA$44.79.7% below
100 week MA$34.318% above
200 week MA$32.126% above

VECO has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

VECO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.8$19.0+28%
2021$19.0$26.9+41%
2022$26.9$18.4-32%
2023$18.4$31.0+69%
2024$31.0$27.6-11%
2025$27.6$29.3+6.1%
2026 YTD$29.3$40.3+38%

VECO has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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