ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

USIO

Usio, Inc.

60
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

USIO has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

USIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Healthy

USIO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

USIO PE Valuation

USIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

USIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect USIO to return to profit, with revenue growing.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than USIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

USIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$3.05
Downside-33%$1.38

Calculated from the latest close: $2.05 on Nov 12.

USIO trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

USIO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $-0.03Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.12Q1 2025: $0.12Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $-0.09Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $-0.06Q3 2026: $-0.03Forward: $0.06
Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $-0.03Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.12Q1 2025: $0.12Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $-0.09Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $-0.06Q3 2026: $-0.03Forward: $0.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.06—
Q3 2026-$0.03-$0.02
Q2 2026-$0.06-155%
Q1 2026-$0.08-167%
Q4 2025-$0.09-175%
Q3 2025-$0.01-110%
Q2 2025$0.11+$0.15
Q1 2025$0.12+$0.15
Q4 2024$0.12+$0.14

USIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.03 per share over the past year, against $0.39 at its worst in late 2019.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over USIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

USIO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $24M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $24M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.8M+12%
Q2 2026$23.7M+19%
Q1 2026$25.5M+16%
Q4 2025$22.2M+8.2%
Q3 2025$21.2M-0.7%
Q2 2025$20M-0.6%
Q1 2025$22M+8.3%
Q4 2024$20.6M+6.2%

USIO's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $24M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

USIO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$551,156Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: −$24,555Q3 2025: $85,165Q4 2025: −$42,828Q1 2026: $548,652Q2 2026: −$828,172Q3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: −$27MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$551,156Q3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: −$24,555Q3 2025: $85,165Q4 2025: −$42,828Q1 2026: $548,652Q2 2026: −$828,172Q3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.6M+1740%
Q2 2026-$828.2K-$803.6K
Q1 2026$548.7K-48%
Q4 2025-$42.8K-100%
Q3 2025$85.2K+$4.9M
Q2 2025-$24.6K+$526.6K
Q1 2025$1.1M+$4M
Q4 2024$10.2M+$37.1M

USIO has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

USIO Total Shares

Q1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
Q1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.4%+654K shares
1 year+5.9%+1.6M shares
3 years+7.8%+2.1M shares
5 years+84%+13M shares

USIO has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

USIO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -39.8xQ4 2024: -50.9xQ1 2025: -10.6xQ2 2025: -14.2xQ3 2025: -28.2xQ2 2026: -13.6xQ3 2026: -5.7x
Q4 2023: -39.8xQ4 2024: -50.9xQ1 2025: -10.6xQ2 2025: -14.2xQ3 2025: -28.2xQ2 2026: -13.6xQ3 2026: -5.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-13.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-28.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-14.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-10.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-50.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-39.8xNet Cash
Q3 2023-8.3xNet Cash

USIO has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

USIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic49.3Neutral

USIO's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

USIO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUSIOSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

USIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

USIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.7425% below
20 week MA$2.5620% below
50 week MA$1.8610% above
100 week MA$1.7219% above
200 week MA$1.7021% above

USIO has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

USIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.74$2.90+67%
2021$2.90$5.08+75%
2022$5.08$1.55-69%
2023$1.55$1.72+11%
2024$1.72$1.45-16%
2025$1.45$1.33-8.3%
2026 YTD$1.33$2.05+54%

USIO has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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