ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UCTT

Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.

59
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

UCTT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

UCTT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Weak
Stable

UCTT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UCTT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x287x431x574x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x287x431x574x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.4x$48.10—
Cheap18x$9.98-79%
Fair26x$15.06-69%
Expensive47x$26.89-44%
Current84x$48.10—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UCTT's PE is in its expensive range at 84x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.4x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UCTT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for UCTT, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UCTT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UCTT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$74.58
Downside-30%$33.65

Calculated from the latest close: $48.10 on Nov 12.

UCTT trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

UCTT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $-3.38Q3 2025: $-3.57Q4 2025: $-4.00Q1 2026: $-4.29Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $0.57Forward: $5.70
Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $-3.38Q3 2025: $-3.57Q4 2025: $-4.00Q1 2026: $-4.29Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $0.57Forward: $5.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.70+899%
Q3 2026$0.57+$4.14
Q2 2026-$0.52+$2.86
Q1 2026-$4.29-792%
Q4 2025-$4.00-869%
Q3 2025-$3.57-5200%
Q2 2025-$3.38-$3.18
Q1 2025$0.62+$1.45
Q4 2024$0.52+$1.22

UCTT has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over UCTT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UCTT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $445MQ1 2024: $478MQ2 2024: $516MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $563MQ1 2025: $519MQ2 2025: $519MQ3 2025: $510MQ4 2025: $507MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $759M
Q4 2023: $445MQ1 2024: $478MQ2 2024: $516MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $563MQ1 2025: $519MQ2 2025: $519MQ3 2025: $510MQ4 2025: $507MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $759M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$759M+49%
Q2 2026$644.9M+24%
Q1 2026$533.7M+2.9%
Q4 2025$506.7M-10%
Q3 2025$510M-5.6%
Q2 2025$518.8M+0.5%
Q1 2025$518.6M+8.6%
Q4 2024$563.3M+27%

UCTT's revenue is growing: $759M last quarter, up 49% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

UCTT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$300,000Q4 2024: −$200,000Q1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$57MQ3 2026: −$62M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: −$300,000Q4 2024: −$200,000Q1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$57MQ3 2026: −$62M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$61.8M-$50.9M
Q2 2026-$57.3M-562%
Q1 2026-$42.9M-372%
Q4 2025-$2M-$1.8M
Q3 2025-$10.9M-$10.6M
Q2 2025$12.4M+22%
Q1 2025$15.8M+$24M
Q4 2024-$200K-101%

UCTT has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

UCTT Total Shares

Q1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+100K shares
1 year+1.8%+800K shares
3 years+4.3%+1.9M shares

UCTT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

UCTT Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -3.5xQ3 2024: -2.8xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q2 2024: -3.5xQ3 2024: -2.8xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 20241.4xHealthy
Q3 2024-2.8xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2023-2.6xNet Cash
Q4 20221.0xHealthy

UCTT's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

UCTT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.1Oversold

UCTT's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UCTT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUCTTSector medianRelative
PE84x28x203% above
PE %903555 pts above

UCTT is trading at 84x earnings, a 203% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

UCTT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.815% below
20 week MA$73.535% below
50 week MA$67.328% below
100 week MA$46.82.9% above
200 week MA$41.616% above

UCTT has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

UCTT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.4$31.7+35%
2021$31.7$56.2+78%
2022$56.2$33.3-41%
2023$33.3$34.1+2.5%
2024$34.1$36.5+7%
2025$36.5$26.0-29%
2026 YTD$26.0$48.1+85%

UCTT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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