ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TRAK
ReposiTrak, Inc.
TRAK has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TRAK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TRAK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TRAK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 19x | $7.35 | — |
| Cheap | 28x | $10.82 | +47% |
| Fair | 40x | $15.48 | +111% |
| Expensive | 68x | $26.63 | +262% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TRAK's PE is in its cheap range at 19x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TRAK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for TRAK to show an outlook.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
TRAK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.39 | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.37 | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.37 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.36 | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.35 | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.33 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.31 | +6.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.30 | +7.1% |
TRAK has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over TRAK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TRAK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $5.6M | -3.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.9M | -0.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9M | +6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $6M | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.8M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.9M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.5M | +7.1% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.4M | +7.5% |
TRAK's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $6M last quarter, down 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +7.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 31% | +6.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | +4.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +5.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 27% | +3.5 points |
TRAK has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
TRAK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.4M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.1M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5M | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4M | -42% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.9M | +23% |
| Q2 2024 | $2M | +11% |
| Q1 2024 | $2.5M | -37% |
TRAK has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
TRAK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +143K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -160K shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +215K shares |
| 5 years | -3.9% | -773K shares |
| Available history | -5.7% | -1.1M shares |
TRAK has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $549,944 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $149,985 |
| Q2 2025 | $100,019 |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $100,016 |
| Q3 2024 | — |
TRAK spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year, about nine times what it spent the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TRAK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
TRAK has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
TRAK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.8 | Oversold |
TRAK's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TRAK PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | TRAK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 28x | 32% below |
| PE % | 1 | 35 | 34 pts below |
TRAK is trading at 19x earnings, a 32% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over TRAK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
TRAK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.48 | 1.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $8.08 | 9% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.19 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.1 | 48% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.4 | 45% below |
TRAK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 45% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
TRAK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.86 | $5.02 | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $5.02 | $5.76 | +15% |
| 2022 | $5.76 | $5.24 | -9% |
| 2023 | $5.24 | $10.0 | +91% |
| 2024 | $10.0 | $22.0 | +120% |
| 2025 | $22.0 | $13.1 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.1 | $7.35 | -44% |
TRAK has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.