ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TLS
Telos Corporation
TLS has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TLS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TLS's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TLS PE Valuation
TLS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TLS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TLS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
TLS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.28 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.12 | +$0.29 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.21 | +$0.56 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.35 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.50 | +$0.23 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.41 | +$0.29 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.77 | -$0.34 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.75 | -$0.31 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.73 | -$0.23 |
TLS has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over TLS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TLS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55.2M | +7.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $47.7M | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $47.7M | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $46.8M | +77% |
| Q3 2025 | $51.4M | +116% |
| Q2 2025 | $36M | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $30.6M | +3.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $26.4M | -36% |
TLS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $55M last quarter, up 7.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.4% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7% | +28 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3% | +33 points |
| Q4 2025 | -40% | -1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.8% | +117 points |
| Q2 2025 | -27% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | -29% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | -18 points |
TLS has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
TLS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.4M | +7.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.6M | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.5M | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $8M | +$20.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $8.7M | +$15.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $6.8M | +$15M |
| Q1 2025 | $6M | +$6.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.4M | -383% |
TLS has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
TLS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +5.4% | +3.9M shares |
| 3 years | +10% | +6.9M shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +9.7M shares |
| Available history | +56% | +27.4M shares |
TLS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $4.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $6M |
| Q3 2025 | $3.6M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
TLS spent $19M buying back its own shares over the past year.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TLS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -50.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -18.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | 10.3x | High |
| Q2 2020 | 10.0x | High |
| Q1 2020 | 13.8x | High |
| Q4 2019 | 16.8x | High |
TLS has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
TLS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 71.2 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 72.5 | Neutral |
TLS's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TLS PE vs Technology Sector
TLS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
TLS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.96 | 56% above |
| 20 week MA | $4.73 | 63% above |
| 50 week MA | $4.70 | 64% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.35 | 77% above |
| 200 week MA | $3.85 | 101% above |
TLS has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
TLS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.1 | $30.2 | +58% |
| 2021 | $30.2 | $16.2 | -46% |
| 2022 | $16.2 | $4.87 | -70% |
| 2023 | $4.87 | $3.65 | -25% |
| 2024 | $3.65 | $3.40 | -6.8% |
| 2025 | $3.40 | $5.18 | +52% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.18 | $7.72 | +49% |
TLS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.