ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TER

Teradyne, Inc.

78
Fundamentals92/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

TER has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TER Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

TER's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TER PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x63x94x125x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x63x94x125x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$189-28%
Forward24x$264—
Fair29x$248-5.9%
Current30x$264—
Expensive48x$419+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TER's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TER Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TER, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails TER on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TER Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+101%$530.77
Downside-19%$213.41

Calculated from the latest close: $263.75 on Nov 12.

TER has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

TER Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.73Q1 2024: $2.63Q2 2024: $3.04Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.32Q1 2025: $3.53Q2 2025: $2.88Q3 2025: $2.74Q4 2025: $3.47Q1 2026: $5.39Q2 2026: $7.28Q3 2026: $8.70Forward: $10.80
Q4 2023: $2.73Q1 2024: $2.63Q2 2024: $3.04Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.32Q1 2025: $3.53Q2 2025: $2.88Q3 2025: $2.74Q4 2025: $3.47Q1 2026: $5.39Q2 2026: $7.28Q3 2026: $8.70Forward: $10.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.80+24%
Q3 2026$8.70+218%
Q2 2026$7.28+153%
Q1 2026$5.39+53%
Q4 2025$3.47+4.5%
Q3 2025$2.74-13%
Q2 2025$2.88-5.3%
Q1 2025$3.53+34%
Q4 2024$3.32+22%

TER has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over TER on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TER Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $671MQ1 2024: $600MQ2 2024: $730MQ3 2024: $737MQ4 2024: $753MQ1 2025: $686MQ2 2025: $652MQ3 2025: $769MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $671MQ1 2024: $600MQ2 2024: $730MQ3 2024: $737MQ4 2024: $753MQ1 2025: $686MQ2 2025: $652MQ3 2025: $769MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+70%
Q2 2026$1.3B+104%
Q1 2026$1.3B+87%
Q4 2025$1.1B+44%
Q3 2025$769.2M+4.3%
Q2 2025$651.8M-11%
Q1 2025$685.7M+14%
Q4 2024$752.9M+12%

TER's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.3B last quarter, up 70% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

TER Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $204MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: $171MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $219MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $378MQ3 2026: $227M
Q4 2023: $204MQ1 2024: −$37MQ2 2024: $171MQ3 2024: $114MQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: $98MQ2 2025: $132MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $219MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $378MQ3 2026: $227M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$227.3M+9539%
Q2 2026$378.4M+187%
Q1 2026$200.4M+105%
Q4 2025$218.8M-2.9%
Q3 2025$2.4M-98%
Q2 2025$131.7M-23%
Q1 2025$97.6M+$134.4M
Q4 2024$225.2M+10%

TER has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

TER Total Shares

Q4 2023: 164MQ1 2024: 162MQ2 2024: 163MQ3 2024: 164MQ4 2024: 163MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 160MQ3 2025: 159MQ4 2025: 160MQ1 2026: 158MQ2 2026: 158MQ3 2026: 158M
Q4 2023: 164MQ1 2024: 162MQ2 2024: 163MQ3 2024: 164MQ4 2024: 163MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 160MQ3 2025: 159MQ4 2025: 160MQ1 2026: 158MQ2 2026: 158MQ3 2026: 158M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-191K shares
1 year-1%-1.6M shares
3 years-4.4%-7.2M shares
5 years-16%-29.2M shares
Available history-12%-22M shares

TER has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TER Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

TER has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

TER Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.4Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

TER's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TER PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTERSector medianRelative
PE30x28x8.8% above
PE %593524 pts above

TER is trading at 30x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

TER Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$330.020% below
20 week MA$352.325% below
50 week MA$325.019% below
100 week MA$218.521% above
200 week MA$164.860% above

TER has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

TER Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$69.1$118.9+72%
2021$118.9$162.7+37%
2022$162.7$86.6-47%
2023$86.6$108.5+25%
2024$108.5$128.5+18%
2025$128.5$198.9+55%
2026 YTD$198.9$263.8+33%

TER has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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