ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has the edge over TEAD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
TEAD
Teads Holding Co.
TEAD offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TEAD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
TEAD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TEAD PE Valuation
TEAD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TEAD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect TEAD's revenue to decline, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
TEAD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$8.78 | -$7.74 |
| Q2 2024 | -$0.04 | +$0.09 |
| Q1 2024 | $0.21 | +$0.73 |
| Q4 2023 | $0.20 | +$0.64 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.04 | -108% |
| Q2 2023 | -$0.13 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2023 | -$0.52 | -$0.45 |
TEAD has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over TEAD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TEAD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $235.1M | -26% |
| Q2 2026 | $284.6M | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $266M | -7.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $352.2M | +50% |
| Q3 2025 | $318.8M | +42% |
| Q2 2025 | $343.1M | +60% |
| Q1 2025 | $286.4M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.6M | -5.5% |
TEAD's revenue has held roughly level: $235M last quarter, down 26% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -131% | -129 points |
| Q2 2026 | -5.5% | -4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.2% | +7.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -98% | -99 points |
| Q3 2025 | -2% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -16% | -13 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1% | -1.2 points |
TEAD has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
TEAD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$28.4M | -$3.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $8M | -66% |
| Q1 2026 | -$35.6M | -$31.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $6.5M | -84% |
| Q3 2025 | -$24.5M | -320% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.9M | -153% |
| Q4 2024 | $40M | +72% |
| Q1 2024 | $7.3M | +$31.5M |
TEAD has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
TEAD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +960K shares |
| 1 year | +3.3% | +3.1M shares |
| 3 years | +91% | +46.8M shares |
TEAD has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $75,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $38,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $7,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $86,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $198,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $355,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $210,000 |
TEAD spent $126,000 buying back its own shares over the past year, down 85% from the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TEAD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | 34.0x | High |
| Q3 2022 | 6.5x | High |
| Q2 2022 | -11.1x | Net Cash |
TEAD's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
TEAD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 26.4 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 4.3 | Oversold |
TEAD's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TEAD PE vs Technology Sector
TEAD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus TEAD above 0 of 3.
TEAD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.37 | 54% below |
| 20 week MA | $0.54 | 69% below |
| 50 week MA | $0.72 | 76% below |
TEAD is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 76% below its 50-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS has the edge over TEAD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TEAD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2.85 | $0.91 | -68% |
| 2026 YTD | $0.91 | $0.17 | -81% |
TEAD has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 81% so far in 2026.