ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TDC

Teradata Corporation

61
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

TDC has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Strong

TDC's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE111x222x333x444x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE111x222x333x444x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7.2x$34.18—
Forward12x$34.18—
Cheap18x$85.47+150%
Fair38x$181+430%
Expensive79x$373+990%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TDC's PE is in its cheap range at 7.2x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 12x.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect TDC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TDC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$45.52
Downside-19%$27.56

Calculated from the latest close: $34.18 on Nov 12.

TDC trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

TDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.61Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.84Q4 2024: $1.16Q1 2025: $1.41Q2 2025: $1.12Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $1.35Q1 2026: $4.37Q2 2026: $4.76Q3 2026: $4.74Forward: $2.91
Q4 2023: $0.61Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.84Q4 2024: $1.16Q1 2025: $1.41Q2 2025: $1.12Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $1.35Q1 2026: $4.37Q2 2026: $4.76Q3 2026: $4.74Forward: $2.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.91-39%
Q3 2026$4.74+292%
Q2 2026$4.76+325%
Q1 2026$4.37+210%
Q4 2025$1.35+16%
Q3 2025$1.21+44%
Q2 2025$1.12+78%
Q1 2025$1.41+236%
Q4 2024$1.16+90%

TDC has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over TDC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $457MQ1 2024: $465MQ2 2024: $436MQ3 2024: $440MQ4 2024: $409MQ1 2025: $418MQ2 2025: $408MQ3 2025: $416MQ4 2025: $421MQ1 2026: $444MQ2 2026: $410MQ3 2026: $399M
Q4 2023: $457MQ1 2024: $465MQ2 2024: $436MQ3 2024: $440MQ4 2024: $409MQ1 2025: $418MQ2 2025: $408MQ3 2025: $416MQ4 2025: $421MQ1 2026: $444MQ2 2026: $410MQ3 2026: $399M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$399M-4.1%
Q2 2026$410M+0.5%
Q1 2026$444M+6.2%
Q4 2025$421M+2.9%
Q3 2025$416M-5.5%
Q2 2025$408M-6.4%
Q1 2025$418M-10%
Q4 2024$409M-11%

TDC's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $399M last quarter, down 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

TDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $151MQ1 2026: $391MQ2 2026: $105MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $39MQ3 2025: $89MQ4 2025: $151MQ1 2026: $391MQ2 2026: $105MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86M-3.4%
Q2 2026$105M+169%
Q1 2026$391M+5486%
Q4 2025$151M+1.3%
Q3 2025$89M+29%
Q2 2025$39M-2.5%
Q1 2025$7M-67%
Q4 2024$149M-11%

TDC has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

TDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 97MQ2 2025: 96MQ3 2025: 96MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 96M
Q4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 97MQ2 2025: 96MQ3 2025: 96MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 96M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-700K shares
1 year0%--
3 years-6.4%-6.5M shares
5 years-16%-17.9M shares
Available history-16%-18.7M shares

TDC has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TDC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.0xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -2.0x
Q4 2023: 0.0xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

TDC has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

TDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.3Neutral
Stochastic80.4Overbought

TDC's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TDC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTDCSector medianRelative
PE7.2x28x74% below
PE %53530 pts below

TDC is trading at 7.2x earnings, a 74% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

TDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.97.2% above
20 week MA$30.512% above
50 week MA$30.113% above
100 week MA$27.027% above
200 week MA$33.32.7% above

TDC has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

TDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.6$22.4-16%
2021$22.4$44.1+97%
2022$44.1$33.2-25%
2023$33.2$43.5+31%
2024$43.5$31.6-27%
2025$31.6$30.7-3%
2026 YTD$30.7$34.2+11%

TDC has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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