ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TASK

TaskUs, Inc.

74
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation92/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

TASK has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TASK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

TASK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TASK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.4x$9.00—
Current8.3x$9.00—
Cheap10x$11.18+24%
Fair26x$28.42+216%
Expensive33x$35.43+294%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TASK's PE is in its cheap range at 8.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.4x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TASK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TASK, with profitability holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TASK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TASK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$12.27
Downside-25%$6.79

Calculated from the latest close: $9.00 on Nov 12.

TASK trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

TASK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.56Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.50Q1 2025: $0.60Q2 2025: $0.68Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.10Q1 2026: $1.13Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.09Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.56Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.50Q1 2025: $0.60Q2 2025: $0.68Q3 2025: $0.88Q4 2025: $1.10Q1 2026: $1.13Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.09Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41+29%
Q3 2026$1.09+24%
Q2 2026$1.15+69%
Q1 2026$1.13+88%
Q4 2025$1.10+120%
Q3 2025$0.88+47%
Q2 2025$0.68+21%
Q1 2025$0.60+15%
Q4 2024$0.50+4.2%

TASK has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

TASK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $234MQ1 2024: $227MQ2 2024: $238MQ3 2024: $255MQ4 2024: $274MQ1 2025: $278MQ2 2025: $294MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: $313MQ1 2026: $306MQ2 2026: $309MQ3 2026: $315M
Q4 2023: $234MQ1 2024: $227MQ2 2024: $238MQ3 2024: $255MQ4 2024: $274MQ1 2025: $278MQ2 2025: $294MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: $313MQ1 2026: $306MQ2 2026: $309MQ3 2026: $315M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$314.7M+5.4%
Q2 2026$308.9M+5%
Q1 2026$306.3M+10%
Q4 2025$313M+14%
Q3 2025$298.7M+17%
Q2 2025$294.1M+24%
Q1 2025$277.8M+22%
Q4 2024$274.2M+17%

TASK's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $315M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

TASK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $38,000Q3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $38,000Q3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$22M-48%
Q2 2026$32.6M+85705%
Q1 2026$36.1M+66%
Q4 2025$9.9M-51%
Q3 2025$42M+568%
Q2 2025$38K-100%
Q1 2025$21.8M-54%
Q4 2024$20.4M-36%

TASK has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

TASK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 93MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 93MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 93MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 93M
Q4 2023: 96MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 93MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 93MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 93MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 93M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+842K shares
1 year+0.3%+281K shares
3 years-0.7%-697K shares
5 years-15%-16.1M shares
Available history+1.7%+1.6M shares

TASK has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TASK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

TASK's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

TASK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.5Neutral
Stochastic79.8Neutral

TASK's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TASK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTASKSector medianRelative
PE8.3x28x70% below
PE %144329 pts below

TASK is trading at 8.3x earnings, a 70% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

TASK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.456.5% above
20 week MA$7.5419% above
50 week MA$8.298.6% above
100 week MA$11.924% below
200 week MA$12.528% below

TASK has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

TASK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.1$51.7+66%
2022$51.7$16.1-69%
2023$16.1$13.1-19%
2024$13.1$17.0+30%
2025$17.0$11.5-32%
2026 YTD$11.5$9.00-22%

TASK has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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