ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to grow, though they disagree widely on how much.

SWVL

Swvl Holdings Corp.

There isn't enough reported data to score SWVL yet.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SWVL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Strong

SWVL's balance sheet is currently strong, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SWVL PE Valuation

SWVL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SWVL Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SWVL to show an outlook.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and SWVL's risk to reward.

SWVL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $4.71 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and SWVL's risk to reward.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

SWVL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2019: $-7.44Q1 2020: $-7.23Q2 2020: $-7.02Q3 2020: $-6.22Q4 2020: $-5.42Q4 2023: $0.28Q4 2024: $-1.19Q2 2025: $-0.48
Q4 2019: $-7.44Q1 2020: $-7.23Q2 2020: $-7.02Q3 2020: $-6.22Q4 2020: $-5.42Q4 2023: $0.28Q4 2024: $-1.19Q2 2025: $-0.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2024-$1.19-525%
Q4 2020-$5.42+$2.02

SWVL has the edge over ASTS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 187% for ASTS versus down 8.3% for SWVL.

SWVL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2019: $3MQ1 2020: $4MQ2 2020: $4MQ3 2020: $5MQ4 2020: $5MQ4 2021: $38MQ4 2022: $51MQ2 2023: $11MQ4 2023: $23MQ2 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $9MQ2 2025: $10M
Q4 2019: $3MQ1 2020: $4MQ2 2020: $4MQ3 2020: $5MQ4 2020: $5MQ4 2021: $38MQ4 2022: $51MQ2 2023: $11MQ4 2023: $23MQ2 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $9MQ2 2025: $10M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2025$10.2M+26%
Q4 2024$9.1M-60%
Q2 2024$8.1M-27%
Q4 2023$22.9M-56%
Q4 2022$51.5M+34%
Q4 2021$38.3M+750%
Q4 2020$4.5M+46%
Q3 2020$4.5M+46%

SWVL's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $10M last quarter, down 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

SWVL has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 131% versus its history, compared with ASTS at down 363%.

SWVL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2019: โˆ’$10MQ1 2020: โˆ’$9MQ2 2020: โˆ’$9MQ3 2020: โˆ’$6MQ4 2020: โˆ’$6MQ4 2021: โˆ’$62MQ4 2022: โˆ’$118MQ2 2023: --Q4 2023: โˆ’$9MQ2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q2 2025: โˆ’$253,060
Q4 2019: โˆ’$10MQ1 2020: โˆ’$9MQ2 2020: โˆ’$9MQ3 2020: โˆ’$6MQ4 2020: โˆ’$6MQ4 2021: โˆ’$62MQ4 2022: โˆ’$118MQ2 2023: --Q4 2023: โˆ’$9MQ2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q2 2025: โˆ’$253,060
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2023-$9.1M+$109.2M
Q4 2022-$118.3M-$55.8M
Q4 2021-$62.5M-$56.5M
Q4 2020-$6M+$4.1M
Q3 2020-$6M+$4.1M
Q2 2020-$9.4M+$698.5K
Q1 2020-$9.4M+$698.5K

SWVL has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$190M over the past year, against โˆ’$31M the year before.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over SWVL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SWVL Total Shares

Q4 2019: 5MQ1 2020: 5MQ2 2020: 5MQ3 2020: 7MQ4 2020: 7MQ2 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 11MQ2 2024: 9MQ2 2025: 10M
Q4 2019: 5MQ1 2020: 5MQ2 2020: 5MQ3 2020: 7MQ4 2020: 7MQ2 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 11MQ2 2024: 9MQ2 2025: 10M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+20%+1.7M shares
1 year+53%+3.5M shares

SWVL has 10M diluted shares, up 53% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SWVL Net Leverage

Q4 2021: 0.7x
Q4 2021: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20210.7xVery low

SWVL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

SWVL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.4Neutral
Stochastic38.9Neutral

SWVL's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SWVL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSWVLSector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

SWVL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

SWVL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.9719% above
20 week MA$3.1350% above
50 week MA$2.30105% above
100 week MA$3.1948% above
200 week MA$3.5832% above

SWVL has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to โˆ’54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

SWVL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$247.8$247.0-0.3%
2022$247.0$2.88-99%
2023$2.88$1.67-42%
2024$1.67$6.50+289%
2025$6.50$1.84-72%
2026 YTD$1.84$4.71+156%

SWVL has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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