ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SVCO
Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock
SVCO has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SVCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SVCO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SVCO PE Valuation
SVCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 32x next year's earnings.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SVCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SVCO to return to profit, with revenue growing.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
SVCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.23 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.66 | +$0.33 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.70 | +$0.34 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.91 | +$1.36 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.39 | +$0.14 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.99 | +$0.75 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.04 | +$0.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$2.26 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.53 | -$1.48 |
SVCO has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over SVCO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SVCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.3M | -13% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.8M | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.8M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.3M | +2.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.7M | +70% |
| Q2 2025 | $12M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.1M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.9M | +30% |
SVCO's revenue is growing: $16M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -26% | +24 points |
| Q2 2026 | -22% | +62 points |
| Q1 2026 | -32% | +108 points |
| Q4 2025 | -37% | -51 points |
| Q3 2025 | -50% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -84% | +168 points |
| Q1 2025 | -139% | -154 points |
| Q4 2024 | 14% | +16 points |
SVCO has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
SVCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$781K | +$7.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.5M | +$10.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11M | -$9.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$9.5M | -$246K |
| Q3 2025 | -$8.2M | -$6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$15.6M | -$9.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.2M | +$1.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$9.3M | -1378% |
SVCO has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over SVCO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
SVCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.9% | +946K shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +3.7M shares |
| 3 years | +70% | +14M shares |
SVCO has 34M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SVCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SVCO has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
SVCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.5 | Neutral |
SVCO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SVCO PE vs Technology Sector
SVCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
SVCO has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus SVCO above 3 of 4.
SVCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.31 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.62 | 2.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.23 | 3% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.39 | 17% above |
SVCO's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 100-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
SVCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $18.9 | $8.11 | -57% |
| 2025 | $8.11 | $4.25 | -48% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.25 | $7.45 | +75% |
SVCO has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.