ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
STEM
Stem, Inc.
STEM has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
STEM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
STEM's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
STEM PE Valuation
STEM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
STEM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect STEM's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
STEM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$8.19 | +$21.40 |
| Q1 2026 | -$8.40 | +$91.20 |
| Q4 2025 | -$9.18 | +$96.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$14.23 | +$89.81 |
| Q2 2025 | -$29.59 | +$66.05 |
| Q1 2025 | -$99.60 | -$70.56 |
| Q4 2024 | -$105.80 | -$80.16 |
| Q3 2024 | -$104.04 | -$78.64 |
STEM has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over STEM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
STEM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $33.7M | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | $29M | -11% |
| Q4 2025 | $47.1M | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $38.2M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $38.4M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.5M | +28% |
| Q4 2024 | $55.8M | -67% |
| Q3 2024 | $29.3M | -78% |
STEM's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $34M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -23% | +12 points |
| Q1 2026 | -49% | +16 points |
| Q4 2025 | -18% | +67 points |
| Q3 2025 | -34% | +460 points |
| Q2 2025 | -35% | +1671 points |
| Q1 2025 | -65% | +202 points |
| Q4 2024 | -84% | -64 points |
| Q3 2024 | -493% | -442 points |
STEM has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
STEM has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 88% versus its history, compared with ASTS at down 363%.
STEM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -$8.3M | -197% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2M | +$22.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $11.4M | +$20.9M |
| Q2 2025 | -$21.3M | -$9.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $8.5M | +$9.2M |
| Q4 2024 | -$14.7M | -$11.5M |
| Q3 2024 | -$9.5M | -$5.4M |
| Q2 2024 | -$12M | +$153.5M |
STEM has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$10M over the past year, against −$28M the year before.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
STEM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7% | +593K shares |
| 1 year | +7.4% | +629K shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | +45% | +2.8M shares |
STEM has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | — |
| Q3 2019 | — |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
STEM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -24.9x | Net Cash |
STEM has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
STEM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 26.9 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 4.0 | Oversold |
STEM's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
STEM PE vs Technology Sector
STEM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over STEM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
STEM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.30 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.83 | 53% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.24 | 75% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.1 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $39.7 | 94% below |
STEM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 94% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS has the edge over STEM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
STEM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $195.2 | $453.4 | +132% |
| 2021 | $453.4 | $395.8 | -13% |
| 2022 | $395.8 | $186.2 | -53% |
| 2023 | $186.2 | $77.6 | -58% |
| 2024 | $77.6 | $11.9 | -85% |
| 2025 | $11.9 | $16.0 | +35% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.0 | $2.29 | -86% |
STEM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +132% in 2020 to −85% in 2024. It's down 86% so far in 2026.