ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over SQNS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SQNS

Sequans Communications S.A.

36
Fundamentals13/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

SQNS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SQNS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Stable

SQNS's balance sheet is currently stable, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SQNS PE Valuation

SQNS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SQNS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect SQNS's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SQNS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SQNS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$3.90
Downside-37%$1.54

Calculated from the latest close: $2.44 on Nov 12.

SQNS trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

SQNS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.34Q4 2023: $-1.79Q1 2024: $-2.01Q2 2024: $-1.63Q3 2024: $1.69Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $2.51Q2 2025: $2.17Q3 2025: $-1.21Q4 2025: $-7.43Q1 2026: $-11.04Q2 2026: $-11.33
Q3 2023: $-1.34Q4 2023: $-1.79Q1 2024: $-2.01Q2 2024: $-1.63Q3 2024: $1.69Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $2.51Q2 2025: $2.17Q3 2025: $-1.21Q4 2025: $-7.43Q1 2026: $-11.04Q2 2026: $-11.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$11.33-622%
Q1 2026-$11.04-540%
Q4 2025-$7.43-420%
Q3 2025-$1.21-172%
Q2 2025$2.17+$3.80
Q1 2025$2.51+$4.52
Q4 2024$2.32+$4.11
Q3 2024$1.69+$3.03

SQNS has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over SQNS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SQNS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $7M
Q3 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $7M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$7.5M-8.4%
Q1 2026$6.1M-25%
Q4 2025$7M-37%
Q3 2025$4.3M-57%
Q2 2025$8.1M-16%
Q1 2025$8.1M+34%
Q4 2024$11M+131%
Q3 2024$10.1M+29%

SQNS's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $7M last quarter, down 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

SQNS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$6MQ4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$30MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$16MQ2 2026: −$10M
Q3 2023: −$6MQ4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$30MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$15MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$16MQ2 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$9.8M-$7.3M
Q1 2026-$16.1M-$6.2M
Q4 2025-$2.2M+$27.6M
Q3 2025-$14.9M-$11.6M
Q2 2025-$2.4M-131%
Q1 2025-$9.8M+$4.1M
Q4 2024-$29.8M-$18.2M
Q3 2024-$3.3M+$2.6M

SQNS has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

SQNS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 23MQ4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 15M
Q3 2023: 23MQ4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.5%+1M shares
1 year-41%-10.4M shares
3 years-34%-7.9M shares
5 years+0.9%+136K shares
Available history+58%+5.5M shares

SQNS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SQNS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 11.5xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 1.6x
Q3 2023: 11.5xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20240.0xVery low
Q3 2024-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 202311.5xHigh
Q2 20234.5xHigh
Q1 20233.1xElevated

SQNS's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

SQNS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.3Neutral
Stochastic25.3Neutral

SQNS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 25 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SQNS PE vs Technology Sector

SQNS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over SQNS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SQNS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.616.5% below
20 week MA$2.7712% below
50 week MA$3.4229% below
100 week MA$11.078% below
200 week MA$28.391% below

SQNS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 91% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

SQNS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$75.0$157.3+110%
2021$157.3$120.0-24%
2022$120.0$72.0-40%
2023$72.0$70.8-1.7%
2024$70.8$33.9-52%
2025$33.9$4.76-86%
2026 YTD$4.76$2.44-49%

SQNS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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