ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has a slight edge over SOTK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

SOTK

Sono-Tek Corporation

48
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential27/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

SOTK has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SOTK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SOTK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SOTK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x143x215x286x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x143x215x286x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current36x$4.33—
Cheap38x$4.61+6.4%
Fair48x$5.82+34%
Forward51x$4.33—
Expensive71x$8.51+97%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOTK's PE is in its cheap range at 36x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 51x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SOTK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect SOTK's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SOTK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOTK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$5.03
Downside-43%$2.48

Calculated from the latest close: $4.33 on Nov 12.

SOTK trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

SOTK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.11Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $0.08Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $0.10Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.13Q3 2026: $0.12Forward: $0.08
Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.11Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $0.08Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $0.10Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.13Q3 2026: $0.12Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08-29%
Q3 2026$0.12+20%
Q2 2026$0.13+44%
Q1 2026$0.11+38%
Q4 2025$0.10+25%
Q3 2025$0.100%
Q2 2025$0.09-18%
Q1 2025$0.08-11%
Q4 2024$0.08+14%

SOTK has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over SOTK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOTK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $5M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $5M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.2M+1.3%
Q2 2026$5.7M+10%
Q1 2026$5.6M+9.5%
Q4 2025$5M-3.6%
Q3 2025$5.2M0%
Q2 2025$5.1M+2%
Q1 2025$5.1M+7.4%
Q4 2024$5.2M-8.8%

SOTK's revenue is growing: $5M last quarter, up 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

SOTK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $254,796Q1 2024: −$746,567Q2 2024: $294,992Q3 2024: −$576,093Q4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$740,044Q2 2025: −$974,542Q3 2025: −$237,343Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $254,796Q1 2024: −$746,567Q2 2024: $294,992Q3 2024: −$576,093Q4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$740,044Q2 2025: −$974,542Q3 2025: −$237,343Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1M+$1.4M
Q2 2026$1.9M+$2.8M
Q1 2026$3.1M+$3.8M
Q4 2025$1.1M+5.9%
Q3 2025-$237.3K+$338.8K
Q2 2025-$974.5K-430%
Q1 2025-$740K+$6.5K
Q4 2024$1.1M+323%

SOTK has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

SOTK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+68.8K shares
1 year+0.5%+74.5K shares
3 years+0.2%+32.5K shares
5 years+1.3%+204K shares
Available history+2.8%+434K shares

SOTK has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SOTK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -3.1xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -3.0xQ2 2025: -2.5xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -3.7x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -3.1xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -3.0xQ2 2025: -2.5xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -2.5xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-3.1xNet Cash

SOTK has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

SOTK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.8Neutral
Stochastic8.7Oversold

SOTK's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SOTK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSOTKSector medianRelative
PE36x28x30% above
PE %83527 pts below

SOTK is trading at 36x earnings, a 30% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

SOTK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.3920% below
20 week MA$5.2417% below
50 week MA$4.738.5% below
100 week MA$4.300.7% above
200 week MA$4.616.1% below

SOTK's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 6.1% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

SOTK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.25$4.20+87%
2021$4.20$6.77+61%
2022$6.77$6.41-5.3%
2023$6.41$5.41-16%
2024$5.41$4.30-21%
2025$4.30$4.06-5.6%
2026 YTD$4.06$4.33+6.7%

SOTK has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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