ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SONY

Sony Group Corporation

62
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

SONY has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SONY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

SONY's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SONY PE Valuation

SONY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SONY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect SONY's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SONY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SONY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$32.70
Downside-18%$21.81

Calculated from the latest close: $26.66 on Nov 12.

SONY trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

SONY Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.89Q4 2023: $0.93Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.00Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.17Q1 2025: $1.18Q2 2025: $1.19Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.23
Q3 2023: $0.89Q4 2023: $0.93Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.00Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.17Q1 2025: $1.18Q2 2025: $1.19Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.23-119%
Q1 2026-$0.35-130%
Q4 2025-$0.23-120%
Q3 2025$1.21+5.2%
Q2 2025$1.19+19%
Q1 2025$1.18+20%
Q4 2024$1.17+26%
Q3 2024$1.15+29%

SONY has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over SONY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SONY Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $17.7BQ4 2023: $23.5BQ1 2024: $21.8BQ2 2024: $16.1BQ3 2024: $18.6BQ4 2024: $23.2BQ1 2025: $17.6BQ2 2025: $16.4BQ3 2025: $19.5BQ4 2025: $23.3BQ1 2026: $19BQ2 2026: $17.8B
Q3 2023: $17.7BQ4 2023: $23.5BQ1 2024: $21.8BQ2 2024: $16.1BQ3 2024: $18.6BQ4 2024: $23.2BQ1 2025: $17.6BQ2 2025: $16.4BQ3 2025: $19.5BQ4 2025: $23.3BQ1 2026: $19BQ2 2026: $17.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$17.8B+8.2%
Q1 2026$19B+8.3%
Q4 2025$23.3B+0.5%
Q3 2025$19.5B+4.6%
Q2 2025$16.4B+2.2%
Q1 2025$17.6B-19%
Q4 2024$23.2B-1.4%
Q3 2024$18.6B+5%

SONY's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $17.8B last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

SONY Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$300MQ4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: −$2.1BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: −$268MQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $643M
Q3 2023: −$300MQ4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: −$2.1BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: −$268MQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $643M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$643M+$911M
Q1 2026$2.4B-34%
Q4 2025$4.9B-10%
Q3 2025$1.8B-46%
Q2 2025-$268.1M+$1.8B
Q1 2025$3.7B+119%
Q4 2024$5.5B+30%
Q3 2024$3.4B+$3.7B

SONY has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

SONY Total Shares

Q3 2023: 6.2BQ4 2023: 6.2BQ1 2024: 6.2BQ2 2024: 6.2BQ3 2024: 6.2BQ4 2024: 6.2BQ1 2025: 6.2BQ2 2025: 6.1BQ3 2025: 6BQ4 2025: 6BQ1 2026: 6BQ2 2026: 5.9B
Q3 2023: 6.2BQ4 2023: 6.2BQ1 2024: 6.2BQ2 2024: 6.2BQ3 2024: 6.2BQ4 2024: 6.2BQ1 2025: 6.2BQ2 2025: 6.1BQ3 2025: 6BQ4 2025: 6BQ1 2026: 6BQ2 2026: 5.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-120M shares
1 year-3.2%-197M shares
3 years-5%-310M shares
5 years-5.1%-321M shares
Available history-8.7%-565M shares

SONY has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SONY Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.4xQ4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: 1.4xQ4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.0xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low
Q3 20240.9xVery low

SONY has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

SONY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.9Neutral
Stochastic75.4Neutral

SONY's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SONY PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSONYSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

SONY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

SONY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.25.9% above
20 week MA$23.812% above
50 week MA$23.016% above
100 week MA$24.39.9% above
200 week MA$21.126% above

SONY has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

SONY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.6$19.4+43%
2021$19.4$24.8+28%
2022$24.8$15.4-38%
2023$15.4$18.9+23%
2024$18.9$21.5+13%
2025$21.5$25.8+20%
2026 YTD$25.8$26.7+3.3%

SONY has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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