ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to grow, though they disagree widely on how much.

SOGP

Sound Group Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score SOGP yet.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SOGP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Unavailable
Strong

SOGP's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SOGP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.3x2.5x3.8x5.1x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.3x2.5x3.8x5.1x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current1.4x$10.28โ€”
Cheap1.5x$0.06-99%
Fair1.7x$0.07-99%
Expensive2.9x$0.12-99%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOGP's PE is 1.4x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SOGP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect SOGP's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and SOGP's risk to reward.

SOGP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $10.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and SOGP's risk to reward.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

SOGP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2020: $-0.41Q4 2021: $-0.20Q4 2022: $0.12Q4 2023: $-0.02Q4 2024: $-0.01Q4 2025: $0.04
Q4 2020: $-0.41Q4 2021: $-0.20Q4 2022: $0.12Q4 2023: $-0.02Q4 2024: $-0.01Q4 2025: $0.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.04+$0.05
Q4 2024-$0.01+$0.01
Q4 2023-$0.02-117%
Q4 2022$0.12+$0.32
Q4 2021-$0.20+$0.21

SOGP has the edge over ASTS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over SOGP in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

SOGP Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2018: --Q2 2018: --Q3 2018: --Q4 2018: --Q4 2019: $177MQ4 2020: $226MQ4 2021: $318MQ4 2022: $328MQ4 2023: $311MQ4 2024: $305MQ4 2025: $466M
Q1 2018: --Q2 2018: --Q3 2018: --Q4 2018: --Q4 2019: $177MQ4 2020: $226MQ4 2021: $318MQ4 2022: $328MQ4 2023: $311MQ4 2024: $305MQ4 2025: $466M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$465.6M+53%
Q4 2024$304.9M-1.9%
Q4 2023$310.9M-5.2%
Q4 2022$327.9M+3.1%
Q4 2021$318.1M+41%
Q4 2020$225.5M+27%

ASTS has the edge over SOGP in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$1.8B over the past year, against โˆ’$916M the year before.

SOGP Free Cash Flow

Q1 2018: โˆ’$4MQ2 2018: โˆ’$4MQ3 2018: $1MQ4 2018: $7MQ4 2019: โˆ’$19MQ4 2020: $3MQ4 2021: โˆ’$9MQ4 2022: $19MQ4 2023: โˆ’$18MQ4 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2025: $42M
Q1 2018: โˆ’$4MQ2 2018: โˆ’$4MQ3 2018: $1MQ4 2018: $7MQ4 2019: โˆ’$19MQ4 2020: $3MQ4 2021: โˆ’$9MQ4 2022: $19MQ4 2023: โˆ’$18MQ4 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2025: $42M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$41.5M+$47.1M
Q4 2024-$5.6M+$12.8M
Q4 2023-$18.5M-199%
Q4 2022$18.7M+$27.8M
Q4 2021-$9.1M-423%
Q4 2020$2.8M+$21.4M
Q4 2019-$18.6M-382%

SOGP's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $36M over the past year.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over SOGP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOGP Total Shares

Q4 2019: 26MQ4 2020: 88MQ4 2021: 99MQ4 2022: 104MQ4 2023: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1BQ4 2025: 944M
Q4 2019: 26MQ4 2020: 88MQ4 2021: 99MQ4 2022: 104MQ4 2023: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1BQ4 2025: 944M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-8.1%-83.2M shares
1 year+851%+844M shares

SOGP has 944M diluted shares, up 851% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SOGP Net Leverage

Q4 2022: -5.8x
Q4 2022: -5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2022-5.8xNet Cash

SOGP has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

SOGP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.3Neutral
Stochastic22.6Neutral

SOGP's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SOGP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSOGPSector medianRelative
PE1.4x28x95% below
PE %123523 pts below

SOGP is trading at 1.4x earnings, a 95% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

SOGP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.84.5% below
20 week MA$11.28.2% below
50 week MA$12.819% below
100 week MA$9.745.5% above
200 week MA$7.1145% above

SOGP has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to โˆ’54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

SOGP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$116.3$40.6-65%
2021$40.6$17.5-57%
2022$17.5$6.41-63%
2023$6.41$2.74-57%
2024$2.74$2.03-26%
2025$2.03$12.7+528%
2026 YTD$12.7$10.3-19%

SOGP has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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