ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SMSI
Smith Micro Software, Inc.
SMSI has a slight edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SMSI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SMSI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SMSI PE Valuation
SMSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SMSI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SMSI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
SMSI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 273% for ASTS versus SMSI down 109%.
SMSI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | -$26.40 | -$9.20 |
| Q2 2024 | -$26.90 | -$8.90 |
| Q1 2024 | -$27.20 | -$6.80 |
| Q4 2023 | -$15.20 | +$6.00 |
| Q3 2023 | -$17.20 | +$2.00 |
| Q2 2023 | -$18.00 | +$10.80 |
| Q1 2023 | -$20.40 | +$6.40 |
| Q4 2022 | -$21.20 | +$3.20 |
SMSI is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.32 per share over the past year, against $28.80 at its worst in mid-2022.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over SMSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SMSI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.3M | -1.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.2M | -8.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $4M | -20% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.3M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4M | -14% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6M | -20% |
| Q4 2024 | $5M | -42% |
SMSI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $5M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -29% | +74 points |
| Q2 2026 | -55% | +284 points |
| Q1 2026 | -80% | +33 points |
| Q4 2025 | -110% | -20 points |
| Q3 2025 | -103% | +37 points |
| Q2 2025 | -338% | -203 points |
| Q1 2025 | -113% | +430 points |
| Q4 2024 | -90% | -23 points |
SMSI has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
SMSI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$192K | +$2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$943K | +$1.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.8M | -$3.2M |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.2M | +$2.7M |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.2M | +$1.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.3M | +$1.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$606K | +$743K |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.9M | -$3.9M |
SMSI has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over SMSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
SMSI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.2% | +376K shares |
| 1 year | +44% | +1.7M shares |
| 3 years | +263% | +4M shares |
| 5 years | +415% | +4.5M shares |
| Available history | +435% | +4.5M shares |
SMSI has 6M diluted shares, up 44% from a year ago.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SMSI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | -23.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2020 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
SMSI has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
SMSI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.8 | Oversold |
SMSI's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SMSI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SMSI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
SMSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over SMSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMSI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.45 | 2% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.63 | 8.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.04 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.81 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $18.6 | 87% below |
SMSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 87% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
SMSI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $154.8 | $213.6 | +38% |
| 2021 | $213.6 | $201.6 | -5.6% |
| 2022 | $201.6 | $82.4 | -59% |
| 2023 | $82.4 | $33.1 | -60% |
| 2024 | $33.1 | $7.25 | -78% |
| 2025 | $7.25 | $2.85 | -61% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.85 | $2.40 | -16% |
SMSI has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.