ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SMRT
SmartRent, Inc.
SMRT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SMRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
SMRT's revenue is currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SMRT PE Valuation
SMRT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SMRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SMRT's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
SMRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.09 | +$0.27 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.10 | +$0.28 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.13 | +$0.21 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.32 | -$0.15 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.36 | -$0.24 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.38 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.34 | -$0.20 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.17 | $0.00 |
SMRT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $0.49 at its worst in late 2022.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over SMRT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SMRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $41.6M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $39.8M | +4% |
| Q1 2026 | $38.7M | -6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $36.5M | +3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $36.2M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $38.3M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $41.3M | -18% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.4M | -41% |
SMRT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $42M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -12% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | -16% | +14 points |
| Q1 2026 | -13% | +87 points |
| Q4 2025 | -11% | +26 points |
| Q3 2025 | -19% | +9.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -31% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | -100% | -80 points |
| Q4 2024 | -37% | -27 points |
SMRT has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
SMRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.6M | +$4.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.9M | +$14.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.6M | +$9.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $7.7M | +$20.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.2M | +$1.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.2M | -$2.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$14.3M | -$11M |
| Q4 2024 | -$13.3M | -281% |
SMRT has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
SMRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.5M shares |
| 1 year | +1.4% | +2.5M shares |
| 3 years | -5.3% | -10.7M shares |
SMRT has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $29,000 |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $3.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $5.1M |
| Q3 2024 | $17.1M |
| Q2 2024 | $2M |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SMRT Net Leverage
SMRT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
SMRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 82.2 | Overbought |
SMRT's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SMRT PE vs Technology Sector
SMRT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
SMRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.32 | 27% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.25 | 34% above |
| 50 week MA | $1.44 | 16% above |
| 100 week MA | $1.34 | 25% above |
| 200 week MA | $1.99 | 16% below |
SMRT has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
SMRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $11.1 | $10.1 | -9% |
| 2022 | $10.1 | $2.14 | -79% |
| 2023 | $2.14 | $3.19 | +49% |
| 2024 | $3.19 | $1.63 | -49% |
| 2025 | $1.63 | $2.03 | +25% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.03 | $1.67 | -18% |
SMRT has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.