ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SITM
SiTime Corporation
SITM has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SITM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
SITM's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SITM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 26x | $471 | — |
| Cheap | 50x | $51.83 | -89% |
| Fair | 119x | $123 | -74% |
| Expensive | 409x | $425 | -9.7% |
| Current | 452x | $471 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SITM's PE is in its expensive range at 452x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SITM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SITM, with profitability improving.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
SITM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $18.02 | +1633% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.04 | +$4.00 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.59 | +$4.07 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.91 | +$2.89 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.72 | +$2.33 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.96 | +$1.18 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.48 | +$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.80 | +$0.33 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.05 | -$0.42 |
SITM has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SITM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $298.7M | +257% |
| Q2 2026 | $157.4M | +127% |
| Q1 2026 | $113.6M | +88% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.3M | +66% |
| Q3 2025 | $83.6M | +45% |
| Q2 2025 | $69.5M | +58% |
| Q1 2025 | $60.3M | +83% |
| Q4 2024 | $68.1M | +61% |
SITM's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $299M last quarter, up 257% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.8% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.2% | +41 points |
| Q1 2026 | -11% | +36 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6% | +35 points |
| Q3 2025 | -19% | +24 points |
| Q2 2025 | -35% | +38 points |
| Q1 2025 | -47% | +60 points |
| Q4 2024 | -34% | +31 points |
SITM has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
SITM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$16.7M | -164% |
| Q2 2026 | $27.3M | +$30.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $17.9M | +$19.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $13M | +$15.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $26.3M | +$33M |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.9M | -$149K |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.3M | -$98K |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.4M | +$1.8M |
SITM has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over SITM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
SITM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +3.7M shares |
| 1 year | +20% | +5.1M shares |
| 3 years | +40% | +8.8M shares |
| 5 years | +47% | +9.9M shares |
| Available history | +108% | +16.2M shares |
SITM has 31M diluted shares, up 20% from a year ago.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SITM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | -21.3x | Net Cash |
SITM's net debt is about 8.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
SITM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.0 | Oversold |
SITM's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SITM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SITM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 452x | 28x | 1,524% above |
| PE % | 85 | 35 | 50 pts above |
SITM is trading at 452x earnings, a 1524% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
SITM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $531.4 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $579.9 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $520.0 | 9.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $369.3 | 27% above |
| 200 week MA | $248.3 | 90% above |
SITM has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
SITM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.7 | $106.9 | +370% |
| 2021 | $106.9 | $283.9 | +166% |
| 2022 | $283.9 | $99.4 | -65% |
| 2023 | $99.4 | $122.1 | +23% |
| 2024 | $122.1 | $220.9 | +81% |
| 2025 | $220.9 | $377.1 | +71% |
| 2026 YTD | $377.1 | $470.6 | +25% |
SITM has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.