ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SIMO
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation
SIMO has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SIMO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
SIMO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SIMO PE Valuation
SIMO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SIMO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SIMO, with profitability improving.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
SIMO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $34.16 | +790% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.16 | +620% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.84 | +372% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.84 | +193% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.84 | +63% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.80 | +59% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.72 | +71% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.68 | +61% |
SIMO has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over SIMO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SIMO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $451M | +127% |
| Q1 2026 | $342.1M | +105% |
| Q4 2025 | $278.5M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $242M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $198.7M | -5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $166.5M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $191.2M | -5.5% |
| Q3 2024 | $212.4M | +23% |
SIMO's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $451M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +9.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.9% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.3% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2024 | 12% | +2.8 points |
SIMO has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
SIMO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$71.5M | -$38.7M |
| Q1 2026 | -$49.4M | -228% |
| Q4 2025 | -$6.3M | +$10.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $6.8M | -84% |
| Q2 2025 | -$32.8M | -397% |
| Q1 2025 | $38.6M | +$41.5M |
| Q4 2024 | -$17M | -154% |
| Q3 2024 | $41.6M | -13% |
SIMO has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
SIMO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +45.3K shares |
| 1 year | +1.6% | +134K shares |
| 3 years | -75% | -24.9M shares |
| 5 years | -76% | -26.4M shares |
| Available history | -76% | -26.6M shares |
SIMO has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $21,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $24.3M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
SIMO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SIMO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
SIMO has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
SIMO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.5 | Oversold |
SIMO's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SIMO PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SIMO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
SIMO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
SIMO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.3 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $251.4 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $198.9 | 9.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $133.6 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $98.9 | 81% above |
SIMO has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
SIMO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $50.5 | $44.9 | -11% |
| 2021 | $44.9 | $92.1 | +105% |
| 2022 | $92.1 | $62.4 | -32% |
| 2023 | $62.4 | $61.3 | -1.8% |
| 2024 | $61.3 | $54.9 | -10% |
| 2025 | $54.9 | $90.2 | +64% |
| 2026 YTD | $90.2 | $179.5 | +99% |
SIMO has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.