ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SILC
Silicom Ltd.
SILC has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SILC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SILC's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SILC PE Valuation
SILC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 112x next year's earnings.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SILC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SILC to return to profit, with revenue growing.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
SILC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.28 | — |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.71 | +$0.86 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.93 | +$0.30 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.01 | +$0.28 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.62 | +$3.82 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.57 | +$3.25 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.23 | +$2.78 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.29 | +$1.65 |
| Q3 2024 | -$6.44 | -410% |
SILC has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over SILC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SILC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $23.8M | +59% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.1M | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.9M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.6M | +5.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $15M | +3.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.4M | +0.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.5M | -23% |
| Q3 2024 | $14.8M | -51% |
SILC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $24M last quarter, up 59% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -8.4% | +13 points |
| Q1 2026 | -15% | +7.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | -17% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -20% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | -21% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -22% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | +176 points |
| Q3 2024 | -21% | -24 points |
SILC has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
SILC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.3M | -$3.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
SILC's free cash flow was −$3M over the past year, against $0 the year before.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
SILC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +7K shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +33K shares |
| 3 years | -16% | -1.1M shares |
| 5 years | -18% | -1.3M shares |
| Available history | -24% | -1.8M shares |
SILC has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
SILC spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SILC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2023 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2023 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2022 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2021 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
SILC has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
SILC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
SILC's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SILC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SILC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
SILC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
SILC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $42.9 | 27% below |
| 20 week MA | $43.0 | 27% below |
| 50 week MA | $33.0 | 4.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $24.4 | 29% above |
| 200 week MA | $23.5 | 34% above |
SILC has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
SILC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.9 | $41.3 | +25% |
| 2021 | $41.3 | $49.2 | +19% |
| 2022 | $49.2 | $41.6 | -15% |
| 2023 | $41.6 | $18.1 | -56% |
| 2024 | $18.1 | $16.5 | -8.7% |
| 2025 | $16.5 | $14.1 | -15% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.1 | $31.5 | +123% |
SILC has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.