ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SATL
Satellogic Inc.
SATL has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SATL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
SATL's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SATL PE Valuation
SATL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SATL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SATL's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
SATL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.59 | +$0.28 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.75 | +$0.55 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.68 | +$0.76 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.18 | +$1.10 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.87 | +$0.11 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.30 | -$0.57 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.44 | -$0.58 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.28 | -$0.43 |
SATL has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over SATL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SATL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16M | +342% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.9M | +259% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.1M | +80% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.2M | +107% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.6M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.4M | +1.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $3M | -47% |
SATL's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $16M last quarter, up 342% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -14% | +208 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.7% | +143 points |
| Q1 2026 | -104% | +177 points |
| Q4 2025 | -114% | +265 points |
| Q3 2025 | -222% | +157 points |
| Q2 2025 | -142% | +278 points |
| Q1 2025 | -281% | +158 points |
| Q4 2024 | -380% | -117 points |
SATL has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
SATL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$16.6M | -$6.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$14.3M | -$9.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$5.4M | +$1.2M |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.8M | -$8.5M |
| Q3 2025 | -$9.7M | -$344K |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.1M | +$10.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.6M | +$5.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.3M | +$11.7M |
SATL has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over SATL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
SATL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +19% | +28.7M shares |
| 1 year | +37% | +48.3M shares |
| 3 years | +100% | +89.5M shares |
| 5 years | +201% | +120M shares |
| Available history | +160% | +110M shares |
SATL has 179M diluted shares, up 37% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $103,000 |
| Q2 2024 | $111,000 |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $186,000 |
| Q3 2023 | $53,000 |
| Q2 2023 | $109,500 |
| Q1 2023 | $109,500 |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SATL Net Leverage
SATL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
SATL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.0 | Oversold |
SATL's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SATL PE vs Technology Sector
SATL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
SATL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.38 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.62 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.88 | 28% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.09 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.88 | 22% above |
SATL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 22% above its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
SATL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.90 | $9.95 | +0.5% |
| 2022 | $9.95 | $3.05 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.05 | $1.75 | -43% |
| 2024 | $1.75 | $3.68 | +110% |
| 2025 | $3.68 | $2.01 | -45% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.01 | $3.52 | +75% |
SATL has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.