ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SANM

Sanmina Corporation

68
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

SANM has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SANM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

SANM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SANM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$57.00-65%
Fair16x$90.68-45%
Current24x$164—
Expensive25x$139-16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SANM's PE is 24x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SANM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SANM to show an outlook.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SANM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SANM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$261.68
Downside-36%$104.88

Calculated from the latest close: $164.48 on Nov 12.

SANM trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

SANM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $5.18Q4 2023: $4.62Q1 2024: $4.22Q2 2024: $3.85Q3 2024: $3.91Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.32Q2 2025: $4.67Q3 2025: $4.46Q4 2025: $4.19Q1 2026: $4.73Q2 2026: $5.59
Q3 2023: $5.18Q4 2023: $4.62Q1 2024: $4.22Q2 2024: $3.85Q3 2024: $3.91Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.32Q2 2025: $4.67Q3 2025: $4.46Q4 2025: $4.19Q1 2026: $4.73Q2 2026: $5.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$5.59+20%
Q1 2026$4.73+9.5%
Q4 2025$4.19+2.4%
Q3 2025$4.46+14%
Q2 2025$4.67+21%
Q1 2025$4.32+2.4%
Q4 2024$4.09-11%
Q3 2024$3.91-25%

SANM has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over SANM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SANM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.5B
Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.5B+70%
Q1 2026$4B+102%
Q4 2025$3.2B+59%
Q3 2025$2.1B+3.9%
Q2 2025$2B+11%
Q1 2025$2B+8.1%
Q4 2024$2B+7%
Q3 2024$2B-1.7%

SANM's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $3.5B last quarter, up 70% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

SANM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $39MQ4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $92MQ1 2026: $342MQ2 2026: $24M
Q3 2023: $39MQ4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $92MQ1 2026: $342MQ2 2026: $24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$23.6M-86%
Q1 2026$342M+171%
Q4 2025$91.9M+96%
Q3 2025$136.6M+401%
Q2 2025$163.7M+143%
Q1 2025$126.1M+195%
Q4 2024$46.9M-49%
Q3 2024$27.2M-30%

SANM has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

SANM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 60MQ4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 55M
Q3 2023: 60MQ4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+25K shares
1 year+1.2%+640K shares
3 years-7.5%-4.5M shares
5 years-18%-12.2M shares
Available history-23%-16.5M shares

SANM has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SANM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash

SANM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

SANM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.3Neutral
Stochastic20.6Neutral

SANM's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SANM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSANMSector medianRelative
PE24x28x14% below
PE %823547 pts above

SANM is trading at 24x earnings, a 14% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

SANM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$183.410% below
20 week MA$194.916% below
50 week MA$185.511% below
100 week MA$142.915% above
200 week MA$101.862% above

SANM has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

SANM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.2$32.3-5.4%
2021$32.3$40.6+26%
2022$40.6$58.4+44%
2023$58.4$51.4-12%
2024$51.4$76.6+49%
2025$76.6$154.3+101%
2026 YTD$154.3$164.5+6.6%

SANM has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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