ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
RUM
Rumble Inc.
RUM has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RUM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RUM's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RUM PE Valuation
RUM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RUM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect RUM's losses to grow, with revenue growing.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
RUM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.72 | +$0.64 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.59 | +$0.86 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.43 | +$1.03 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.32 | +$1.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.36 | -$0.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.45 | -$0.82 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.46 | -$0.81 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | -$1.08 |
RUM has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over RUM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RUM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.6M | +290% |
| Q2 2026 | $40.4M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $25.5M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $27.1M | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $24.8M | -1.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.1M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.7M | +34% |
| Q4 2024 | $30.2M | +48% |
RUM's revenue is growing: $97M last quarter, up 290% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -88% | +26 points |
| Q2 2026 | -175% | -69 points |
| Q1 2026 | -154% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -131% | -51 points |
| Q3 2025 | -114% | +17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -106% | +67 points |
| Q1 2025 | -153% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -80% | +102 points |
RUM has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
RUM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$80M | -$68M |
| Q2 2026 | -$91.6M | -$75.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$17.7M | -$3.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$31.7M | -$19.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$12M | +$7.9M |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.1M | +$7M |
| Q1 2025 | -$14.6M | +$19.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.4M | +$24.3M |
RUM has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over RUM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
RUM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +50% | +141M shares |
| 1 year | +63% | +164M shares |
| 3 years | +110% | +223M shares |
RUM has 425M diluted shares, up 63% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $525M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RUM Net Leverage
RUM's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
RUM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.9 | Oversold |
RUM's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RUM PE vs Technology Sector
RUM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over RUM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RUM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.27 | 8.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.83 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $6.60 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $7.70 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $7.31 | 22% below |
RUM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
RUM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.82 | $11.7 | +19% |
| 2022 | $11.7 | $6.38 | -45% |
| 2023 | $6.38 | $4.49 | -30% |
| 2024 | $4.49 | $15.2 | +239% |
| 2025 | $15.2 | $6.67 | -56% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.67 | $5.71 | -14% |
RUM has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.