ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RPAY

Repay Holdings Corporation

55
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

RPAY has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RPAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure

RPAY's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RPAY PE Valuation

RPAY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RPAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RPAY, but weaker profitability.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RPAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RPAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$6.43
Downside-35%$2.65

Calculated from the latest close: $4.10 on Nov 12.

RPAY trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

RPAY has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 273% for ASTS versus RPAY down 80%.

RPAY Earnings Per Share

Forward: $0.93
Forward: $0.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.93+673%
Q4 2022$0.12+$0.72
Q3 2022$0.00+$0.56
Q2 2022-$0.12+$0.53
Q1 2022-$0.27+$0.53
Q4 2021-$0.60+$0.08
Q3 2021-$0.56+$0.20
Q2 2021-$0.65+$0.20
Q1 2021-$0.80-$0.12

RPAY has returned to profit: it earned $0.12 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over RPAY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RPAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $76MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $153M
Q4 2023: $76MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $75MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $153M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$153.4M+97%
Q2 2026$100.7M+33%
Q1 2026$80.8M+4.5%
Q4 2025$78.6M+0.4%
Q3 2025$77.7M-1.8%
Q2 2025$75.6M+1%
Q1 2025$77.3M-4.2%
Q4 2024$78.3M+3%

RPAY's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $153M last quarter, up 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

RPAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $38MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.2M-71%
Q2 2026$38.1M+15%
Q1 2026$16.7M+609%
Q4 2025$23.2M-32%
Q3 2025$32.1M-46%
Q2 2025$33.1M+8.7%
Q1 2025$2.4M-90%
Q4 2024$34M-3.3%

RPAY has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over RPAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RPAY Total Shares

PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.8%-3.1M shares
1 year+25%+21.8M shares

RPAY has 110M diluted shares, up 25% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RPAY Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 34.9xQ2 2024: 18.6xQ3 2024: 17.3xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.6x
Q1 2024: 34.9xQ2 2024: 18.6xQ3 2024: 17.3xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.2xElevated
Q3 202417.3xHigh
Q2 202418.6xHigh
Q1 202434.9xHigh
Q3 20235.9xHigh
Q2 20236.5xHigh
Q1 20237.2xHigh

RPAY's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

RPAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic71.5Neutral

RPAY's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RPAY PE vs Technology Sector

RPAY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

RPAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.120.5% below
20 week MA$3.992.8% above
50 week MA$3.6313% above
100 week MA$4.529.3% below
200 week MA$6.4136% below

RPAY has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

RPAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.6$27.7+90%
2021$27.7$18.4-34%
2022$18.4$7.62-59%
2023$7.62$8.54+12%
2024$8.54$7.74-9.4%
2025$7.74$3.71-52%
2026 YTD$3.71$4.10+11%

RPAY has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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