ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ROG

Rogers Corporation

67
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

ROG has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ROG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ROG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE149x298x448x597x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE149x298x448x597x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$130—
Cheap29x$71.92-45%
Fair45x$112-14%
Current53x$130—
Expensive74x$182+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ROG's PE is in its fair range at 53x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ROG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ROG, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails ROG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ROG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$190.61
Downside-14%$111.10

Calculated from the latest close: $129.92 on Nov 12.

ROG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

ROG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.03Q1 2024: $3.64Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $2.68Q4 2024: $1.40Q1 2025: $0.90Q2 2025: $-3.54Q3 2025: $-3.64Q4 2025: $-3.40Q1 2026: $-3.07Q2 2026: $1.69Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $4.65
Q4 2023: $3.03Q1 2024: $3.64Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $2.68Q4 2024: $1.40Q1 2025: $0.90Q2 2025: $-3.54Q3 2025: $-3.64Q4 2025: $-3.40Q1 2026: $-3.07Q2 2026: $1.69Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $4.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.65+88%
Q3 2026$2.47+$6.11
Q2 2026$1.69+$5.23
Q1 2026-$3.07-441%
Q4 2025-$3.40-343%
Q3 2025-$3.64-236%
Q2 2025-$3.54-213%
Q1 2025$0.90-75%
Q4 2024$1.40-54%

ROG has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over ROG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ROG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $205MQ1 2024: $213MQ2 2024: $214MQ3 2024: $210MQ4 2024: $192MQ1 2025: $191MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $216MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $201MQ2 2026: $217MQ3 2026: $236M
Q4 2023: $205MQ1 2024: $213MQ2 2024: $214MQ3 2024: $210MQ4 2024: $192MQ1 2025: $191MQ2 2025: $203MQ3 2025: $216MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $201MQ2 2026: $217MQ3 2026: $236M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$236.1M+9.3%
Q2 2026$216.8M+6.9%
Q1 2026$200.5M+5.2%
Q4 2025$201.5M+4.8%
Q3 2025$216M+2.7%
Q2 2025$202.8M-5.3%
Q1 2025$190.5M-11%
Q4 2024$192.2M-6.1%

ROG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $236M last quarter, up 9.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

ROG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$35.4M+67%
Q2 2026$18.3M+227%
Q1 2026$1.1M-48%
Q4 2025$42.2M+131%
Q3 2025$21.2M-16%
Q2 2025$5.6M-36%
Q1 2025$2.1M-89%
Q4 2024$18.3M-63%

ROG has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

ROG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-100K shares
1 year-1.1%-200K shares
3 years-4.2%-785K shares
5 years-5.2%-974K shares
Available history-4.3%-813K shares

ROG has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ROG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ4 2025: -21.2xQ1 2026: -9.3xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ4 2025: -21.2xQ1 2026: -9.3xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-9.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-21.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.9xNet Cash

ROG has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

ROG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic26.8Neutral

ROG's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricROGSector medianRelative
PE53x28x89% above
PE %633528 pts above

ROG is trading at 53x earnings, a 89% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

ROG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$136.14.5% below
20 week MA$134.03% below
50 week MA$123.05.6% above
100 week MA$100.330% above
200 week MA$114.913% above

ROG has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

ROG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$125.4$151.3+21%
2021$151.3$272.7+80%
2022$272.7$113.5-58%
2023$113.5$132.1+16%
2024$132.1$104.5-21%
2025$104.5$94.3-9.8%
2026 YTD$94.3$129.9+38%

ROG has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key