ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RNG

RingCentral, Inc.

69
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

RNG has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RNG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Stable

RNG's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RNG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE68x137x205x274x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE68x137x205x274x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$75.89—
Forward14x$75.89—
Cheap43x$328+332%
Fair65x$491+547%
Expensive182x$1,375+1712%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RNG's PE is in its cheap range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 14x.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RNG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RNG, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails RNG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RNG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$116.12
Downside-22%$59.35

Calculated from the latest close: $75.89 on Nov 12.

RNG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

RNG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.74Q1 2024: $-1.48Q2 2024: $-1.41Q3 2024: $-1.05Q4 2024: $-0.63Q1 2025: $-0.43Q2 2025: $-0.13Q3 2025: $0.15Q4 2025: $0.48Q1 2026: $0.94Q2 2026: $1.25Q3 2026: $7.56Forward: $5.41
Q4 2023: $-1.74Q1 2024: $-1.48Q2 2024: $-1.41Q3 2024: $-1.05Q4 2024: $-0.63Q1 2025: $-0.43Q2 2025: $-0.13Q3 2025: $0.15Q4 2025: $0.48Q1 2026: $0.94Q2 2026: $1.25Q3 2026: $7.56Forward: $5.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.41-28%
Q3 2026$7.56+4940%
Q2 2026$1.25+$1.38
Q1 2026$0.94+$1.37
Q4 2025$0.48+$1.11
Q3 2025$0.15+$1.20
Q2 2025-$0.13+$1.28
Q1 2025-$0.43+$1.05
Q4 2024-$0.63+$1.11

RNG has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

RNG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $571MQ1 2024: $584MQ2 2024: $593MQ3 2024: $609MQ4 2024: $615MQ1 2025: $612MQ2 2025: $620MQ3 2025: $639MQ4 2025: $644MQ1 2026: $644MQ2 2026: $657MQ3 2026: $676M
Q4 2023: $571MQ1 2024: $584MQ2 2024: $593MQ3 2024: $609MQ4 2024: $615MQ1 2025: $612MQ2 2025: $620MQ3 2025: $639MQ4 2025: $644MQ1 2026: $644MQ2 2026: $657MQ3 2026: $676M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$676M+5.9%
Q2 2026$657M+5.9%
Q1 2026$644.2M+5.3%
Q4 2025$644M+4.8%
Q3 2025$638.7M+4.9%
Q2 2025$620.4M+4.6%
Q1 2025$612.1M+4.8%
Q4 2024$614.5M+7.6%

RNG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $676M last quarter, up 5.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

RNG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $90MQ2 2024: $122MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $127MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $158MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $141MQ1 2026: $158MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $173M
Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $90MQ2 2024: $122MQ3 2024: $120MQ4 2024: $127MQ1 2025: $144MQ2 2025: $158MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $141MQ1 2026: $158MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $173M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$172.9M+20%
Q2 2026$195.8M+24%
Q1 2026$157.5M+9.3%
Q4 2025$141M+11%
Q3 2025$143.8M+20%
Q2 2025$158.5M+30%
Q1 2025$144.1M+60%
Q4 2024$126.5M+17%

RNG has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

RNG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 93MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 87MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 93MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 87MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+1.1M shares
1 year-4.7%-4.3M shares
3 years-7.3%-6.9M shares
5 years-4.5%-4.1M shares
Available history+5.5%+4.6M shares

RNG has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RNG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 37.6xQ1 2024: 17.2xQ2 2024: 11.5xQ3 2024: 7.8xQ4 2024: 5.7xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 37.6xQ1 2024: 17.2xQ2 2024: 11.5xQ3 2024: 7.8xQ4 2024: 5.7xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20254.9xHigh
Q4 20245.7xHigh

RNG's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

RNG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.9Neutral
Stochastic47.8Neutral

RNG's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RNG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricRNGSector medianRelative
PE10x28x64% below
PE %23533 pts below

RNG is trading at 10x earnings, a 64% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

RNG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$77.72.4% below
20 week MA$66.414% above
50 week MA$47.959% above
100 week MA$38.498% above
200 week MA$35.6113% above

RNG has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

RNG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$169.0$398.5+136%
2021$398.5$192.5-52%
2022$192.5$33.7-83%
2023$33.7$34.0+0.9%
2024$34.0$36.1+6.4%
2025$36.1$29.6-18%
2026 YTD$29.6$75.9+157%

RNG has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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