ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RMBS

Rambus Inc.

67
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

RMBS has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RMBS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RMBS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RMBS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2514x5027x7541x10054x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2514x5027x7541x10054x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$52.39-38%
Forward23x$84.97—
Current35x$84.97—
Fair36x$86.46+1.8%
Expensive119x$288+239%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RMBS's PE is in its fair range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RMBS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RMBS, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails RMBS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RMBS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+73%$146.86
Downside-24%$64.29

Calculated from the latest close: $84.97 on Nov 12.

RMBS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

RMBS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.01Q1 2024: $3.28Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $1.62Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.91Q2 2025: $2.11Q3 2025: $2.10Q4 2025: $2.11Q1 2026: $2.10Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $2.43Forward: $3.74
Q4 2023: $3.01Q1 2024: $3.28Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $1.62Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.91Q2 2025: $2.11Q3 2025: $2.10Q4 2025: $2.11Q1 2026: $2.10Q2 2026: $2.18Q3 2026: $2.43Forward: $3.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.74+54%
Q3 2026$2.43+16%
Q2 2026$2.18+3.3%
Q1 2026$2.10+9.9%
Q4 2025$2.11+28%
Q3 2025$2.10+30%
Q2 2025$2.11+0.5%
Q1 2025$1.91-42%
Q4 2024$1.65-45%

RMBS has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

RMBS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $118MQ2 2024: $132MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $161MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $172MQ3 2025: $179MQ4 2025: $190MQ1 2026: $180MQ2 2026: $207MQ3 2026: $218M
Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $118MQ2 2024: $132MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $161MQ1 2025: $167MQ2 2025: $172MQ3 2025: $179MQ4 2025: $190MQ1 2026: $180MQ2 2026: $207MQ3 2026: $218M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$218.3M+22%
Q2 2026$207.4M+20%
Q1 2026$180.2M+8.1%
Q4 2025$190.2M+18%
Q3 2025$178.5M+23%
Q2 2025$172.2M+30%
Q1 2025$166.7M+41%
Q4 2024$161.1M+32%

RMBS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $218M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

RMBS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $52MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $88MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $72MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $96M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $52MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $88MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $72MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $96M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$95.9M+16%
Q2 2026$52.2M-41%
Q1 2026$71.6M+2.9%
Q4 2025$93.3M+78%
Q3 2025$82.5M+58%
Q2 2025$87.9M+49%
Q1 2025$69.5M+93%
Q4 2024$52.5M-2.9%

RMBS has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

RMBS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 111MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 109MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 109MQ4 2025: 109MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 109M
Q4 2023: 111MQ1 2024: 110MQ2 2024: 109MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 109MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 109MQ4 2025: 109MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 109M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-1.2M shares
1 year-0.5%-516K shares
3 years-1.8%-2M shares
5 years-4.3%-4.9M shares
Available history-2.8%-3.1M shares

RMBS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RMBS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

RMBS has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

RMBS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.4Neutral
Stochastic20.9Neutral

RMBS's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RMBS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricRMBSSector medianRelative
PE35x28x26% above
PE %483513 pts above

RMBS is trading at 35x earnings, a 26% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

RMBS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$92.78.3% below
20 week MA$94.710% below
50 week MA$105.620% below
100 week MA$87.22.5% below
200 week MA$71.219% above

RMBS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

RMBS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.8$17.5+27%
2021$17.5$29.0+65%
2022$29.0$36.0+24%
2023$36.0$68.3+90%
2024$68.3$54.2-21%
2025$54.2$94.1+74%
2026 YTD$94.1$85.0-9.7%

RMBS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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