ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RELY

Remitly Global, Inc.

81
Fundamentals90/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

RELY has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RELY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

RELY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RELY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE85x170x255x340x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE85x170x255x340x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current14x$22.79—
Cheap19x$30.73+35%
Forward23x$22.79—
Fair54x$89.46+293%
Expensive258x$425+1765%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RELY's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 23x.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RELY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RELY, with profitability improving.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails RELY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RELY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$38.27
Downside-16%$19.03

Calculated from the latest close: $22.79 on Nov 12.

RELY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

RELY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-0.60Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.19Q1 2025: $-0.03Q2 2025: $0.06Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.49Q2 2026: $1.39Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $1.00
Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-0.60Q2 2024: $-0.55Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.19Q1 2025: $-0.03Q2 2025: $0.06Q3 2025: $0.09Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.49Q2 2026: $1.39Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $1.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.00-39%
Q3 2026$1.65+1733%
Q2 2026$1.39+2217%
Q1 2026$0.49+$0.52
Q4 2025$0.31+$0.50
Q3 2025$0.09+$0.43
Q2 2025$0.06+$0.61
Q1 2025-$0.03+$0.57
Q4 2024-$0.19+$0.46

RELY has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

RELY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $265MQ1 2024: $269MQ2 2024: $306MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $352MQ1 2025: $362MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $419MQ4 2025: $442MQ1 2026: $453MQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $510M
Q4 2023: $265MQ1 2024: $269MQ2 2024: $306MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $352MQ1 2025: $362MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $419MQ4 2025: $442MQ1 2026: $453MQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $510M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$509.8M+22%
Q2 2026$495.2M+20%
Q1 2026$452.8M+25%
Q4 2025$442.2M+26%
Q3 2025$419.5M+25%
Q2 2025$411.9M+34%
Q1 2025$361.6M+34%
Q4 2024$351.9M+33%

RELY's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $510M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

RELY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: −$58MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $119MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $143MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $133MQ3 2026: $92M
Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: −$58MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $119MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $143MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $133MQ3 2026: $92M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$91.6M+1788%
Q2 2026$133.4M+367%
Q1 2026$75.9M-36%
Q4 2025$143.3M+171%
Q3 2025$4.9M-97%
Q2 2025$28.6M-40%
Q1 2025$118.9M+$176.7M
Q4 2024$52.8M+$87.9M

RELY has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

RELY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 181MQ1 2024: 190MQ2 2024: 193MQ3 2024: 205MQ4 2024: 195MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 219MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 218MQ1 2026: 217MQ2 2026: 221MQ3 2026: 224M
Q4 2023: 181MQ1 2024: 190MQ2 2024: 193MQ3 2024: 205MQ4 2024: 195MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 219MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 218MQ1 2026: 217MQ2 2026: 221MQ3 2026: 224M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+2.5M shares
1 year+2.9%+6.3M shares
3 years+22%+41M shares
5 years+38%+62.1M shares
Available history+672%+195M shares

RELY has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RELY Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -38.2xQ2 2025: -11.2xQ3 2025: -8.1xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -4.5xQ2 2026: -3.4xQ3 2026: -2.6x
Q1 2025: -38.2xQ2 2025: -11.2xQ3 2025: -8.1xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -4.5xQ2 2026: -3.4xQ3 2026: -2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-11.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-38.2xNet Cash

RELY has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

RELY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.0Neutral
Stochastic43.3Neutral

RELY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RELY PE vs Technology Sector

MetricRELYSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %24543 pts below

RELY is trading at 14x earnings, a 50% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

RELY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.21.7% below
20 week MA$23.84.3% below
50 week MA$19.815% above
100 week MA$19.716% above
200 week MA$18.821% above

RELY has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

RELY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$44.1$21.6-51%
2022$21.6$9.64-55%
2023$9.64$19.4+101%
2024$19.4$22.8+17%
2025$22.8$14.2-38%
2026 YTD$14.2$22.8+60%

RELY has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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