ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to grow, though they disagree widely on how much.

REFR

Research Frontiers Incorporated

There isn't enough reported data to score REFR yet.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

REFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

REFR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

REFR PE Valuation

REFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

REFR Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for REFR to show an outlook.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and REFR's risk to reward.

REFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.36 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and REFR's risk to reward.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS has the edge over REFR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

REFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.06Q1 2024: $-0.06Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $-0.04Q1 2025: $-0.04Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $-0.07Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.07
Q4 2023: $-0.06Q1 2024: $-0.06Q2 2024: $-0.05Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $-0.04Q1 2025: $-0.04Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $-0.07Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.07$0.00
Q2 2026-$0.07-$0.01
Q1 2026-$0.07-$0.03
Q4 2025-$0.06-$0.02
Q3 2025-$0.07-$0.03
Q2 2025-$0.06-$0.01
Q1 2025-$0.04+$0.02
Q4 2024-$0.04+$0.02

REFR is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.07 per share over the past year, against $0.13 at its worst in late 2019.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over REFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

REFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $312,236Q1 2024: $313,378Q2 2024: $489,594Q3 2024: $354,408Q4 2024: $178,151Q1 2025: $559,776Q2 2025: $129,904Q3 2025: $359,444Q4 2025: $72,123Q1 2026: $136,319Q2 2026: $86,346Q3 2026: $77,041
Q4 2023: $312,236Q1 2024: $313,378Q2 2024: $489,594Q3 2024: $354,408Q4 2024: $178,151Q1 2025: $559,776Q2 2025: $129,904Q3 2025: $359,444Q4 2025: $72,123Q1 2026: $136,319Q2 2026: $86,346Q3 2026: $77,041
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$77K-79%
Q2 2026$86.3K-34%
Q1 2026$136.3K-76%
Q4 2025$72.1K-60%
Q3 2025$359.4K+1.4%
Q2 2025$129.9K-73%
Q1 2025$559.8K+79%
Q4 2024$178.2K-43%

REFR's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $77,041 last quarter, down 79% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$47MQ1 2024: โˆ’$88MQ2 2024: โˆ’$38MQ3 2024: โˆ’$64MQ4 2024: โˆ’$110MQ1 2025: โˆ’$149MQ2 2025: โˆ’$354MQ3 2025: โˆ’$303MQ4 2025: โˆ’$331MQ1 2026: โˆ’$310MQ2 2026: โˆ’$695MQ3 2026: โˆ’$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$1.8B over the past year, against โˆ’$916M the year before.

REFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$549,027Q1 2024: โˆ’$391,170Q2 2024: โˆ’$186,956Q3 2024: โˆ’$258,515Q4 2024: $46,199Q1 2025: โˆ’$641,381Q2 2025: โˆ’$78,529Q3 2025: โˆ’$143,886Q4 2025: โˆ’$466,091Q1 2026: โˆ’$759,998Q2 2026: โˆ’$191,345Q3 2026: โˆ’$443,328
Q4 2023: โˆ’$549,027Q1 2024: โˆ’$391,170Q2 2024: โˆ’$186,956Q3 2024: โˆ’$258,515Q4 2024: $46,199Q1 2025: โˆ’$641,381Q2 2025: โˆ’$78,529Q3 2025: โˆ’$143,886Q4 2025: โˆ’$466,091Q1 2026: โˆ’$759,998Q2 2026: โˆ’$191,345Q3 2026: โˆ’$443,328
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$443.3K-$299.4K
Q2 2026-$191.3K-$112.8K
Q1 2026-$760K-$118.6K
Q4 2025-$466.1K-1109%
Q3 2025-$143.9K+$114.6K
Q2 2025-$78.5K+$108.4K
Q1 2025-$641.4K-$250.2K
Q4 2024$46.2K+$595.2K

REFR has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

REFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+3.6%+1.2M shares
3 years+4.1%+1.4M shares
5 years+10%+3.2M shares
Available history+16%+4.9M shares

REFR has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

REFR Net Leverage

REFR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

REFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.7Oversold

REFR's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

REFR PE vs Technology Sector

REFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over REFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

REFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.5332% below
20 week MA$0.5028% below
50 week MA$0.8156% below
100 week MA$1.1869% below
200 week MA$1.4074% below

REFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 74% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over REFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

REFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.07$2.81-8.5%
2021$2.81$1.75-38%
2022$1.75$2.03+16%
2023$2.03$1.01-50%
2024$1.01$1.63+61%
2025$1.63$1.38-15%
2026 YTD$1.38$0.36-74%

REFR has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 74% so far in 2026.

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