ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RCAT
Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
RCAT has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RCAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RCAT's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RCAT PE Valuation
RCAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RCAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RCAT's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
RCAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.79 | +$0.04 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.68 | +$0.16 |
| Q1 2023 | -$0.38 | -$0.07 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.33 | +$0.27 |
| Q3 2022 | -$0.26 | +$0.33 |
| Q2 2022 | -$0.24 | +$0.32 |
RCAT has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over RCAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RCAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $20.2M | +527% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.5M | +849% |
| Q4 2025 | $26.2M | +1866% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.6M | +529% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6M | -74% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3M | -77% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5M | -61% |
RCAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20M last quarter, up 527% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -191% | +202 points |
| Q1 2026 | -176% | +589 points |
| Q4 2025 | -91% | +616 points |
| Q3 2025 | -182% | +687 points |
| Q2 2025 | -393% | +54 points |
| Q1 2025 | -766% | -647 points |
| Q4 2024 | -707% | -631 points |
| Q4 2024 | -869% | -753 points |
RCAT has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
RCAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$52.6M | -$39.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$38.7M | -$22.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$41.9M | -$25.7M |
| Q3 2025 | -$24.5M | -$14.4M |
| Q2 2025 | -$13.2M | -$10.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$16.2M | -$13.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$16.1M | -$12M |
| Q4 2024 | -$10.2M | -$5.7M |
RCAT has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$158M over the past year, against −$56M the year before.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has the edge over RCAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
RCAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +16M shares |
| 1 year | +50% | +45.6M shares |
| 3 years | +146% | +81.2M shares |
| 5 years | +302% | +103M shares |
| Available history | +709% | +120M shares |
RCAT has 137M diluted shares, up 50% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RCAT Net Leverage
RCAT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
RCAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.9 | Oversold |
RCAT's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RCAT PE vs Technology Sector
RCAT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over RCAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RCAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.07 | 22% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.21 | 45% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.91 | 60% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.20 | 57% below |
| 200 week MA | $5.43 | 27% below |
RCAT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS has the edge over RCAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RCAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.28 | $1.75 | +37% |
| 2021 | $1.75 | $2.18 | +25% |
| 2022 | $2.18 | $0.77 | -65% |
| 2023 | $0.77 | $0.88 | +14% |
| 2024 | $0.88 | $12.3 | +1293% |
| 2025 | $12.3 | $8.30 | -32% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.30 | $3.94 | -53% |
RCAT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1293% in 2024 to −65% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.