ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
RBRK
Rubrik, Inc.
RBRK has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RBRK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
RBRK's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RBRK PE Valuation
RBRK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 180x next year's earnings.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RBRK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RBRK to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
RBRK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.61 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.27 | +$1.09 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.46 | +$1.39 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.78 | +$12.02 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.97 | +$11.75 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.36 | +$11.14 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.85 | +$10.14 |
| Q1 2025 | -$13.80 | -$11.79 |
| Q4 2024 | -$13.72 | -$11.77 |
RBRK has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RBRK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $427.3M | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $387.1M | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $377.7M | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $350.2M | +48% |
| Q3 2025 | $309.9M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $278.5M | +49% |
| Q1 2025 | $258.1M | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $236.2M | +43% |
RBRK's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $427M last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -17% | +14 points |
| Q2 2026 | -14% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | -22% | +23 points |
| Q4 2025 | -22% | +31 points |
| Q3 2025 | -30% | +52 points |
| Q2 2025 | -33% | +354 points |
| Q1 2025 | -45% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -53% | -13 points |
RBRK has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
RBRK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $71.2M | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $77.4M | +110% |
| Q1 2026 | $74.5M | -4.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $80.7M | +348% |
| Q3 2025 | $61.2M | +$90.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $36.8M | +$71.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $78M | +795% |
| Q4 2024 | $18M | +422% |
RBRK has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
RBRK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.2% | +2.4M shares |
| 1 year | +5.8% | +11.2M shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +30.2M shares |
RBRK has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | $3,000 |
| Q2 2022 | $3,000 |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RBRK Net Leverage
RBRK's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
RBRK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
RBRK's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RBRK PE vs Technology Sector
RBRK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
RBRK has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus RBRK above 3 of 4.
RBRK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.0 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $77.7 | 42% above |
| 100 week MA | $77.2 | 43% above |
RBRK's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 43% above its 100-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
RBRK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $38.0 | $68.4 | +80% |
| 2025 | $68.4 | $78.7 | +15% |
| 2026 YTD | $78.7 | $110.4 | +40% |
RBRK has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.