ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
RBLX
Roblox Corporation
RBLX has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RBLX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
RBLX's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RBLX PE Valuation
RBLX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RBLX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RBLX's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
RBLX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.37 | +$0.05 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.42 | $0.00 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.57 | -$0.24 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.54 | -$0.10 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.42 | +$0.22 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.42 | +$0.30 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.33 | +$0.53 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.44 | +$0.43 |
RBLX has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RBLX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $1B | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $988.2M | +32% |
RBLX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.6B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -18% | +3.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | -16% | +14 points |
| Q1 2026 | -20% | +4.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | -22% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -30% | -3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -25% | +13 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | +23 points |
RBLX has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
RBLX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $367M | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $296M | +68% |
| Q1 2026 | $596M | +40% |
| Q4 2025 | $308.6M | +156% |
| Q3 2025 | $443.6M | +103% |
| Q2 2025 | $176.7M | +58% |
| Q1 2025 | $426.5M | +122% |
| Q4 2024 | $120.6M | +54% |
RBLX has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
RBLX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -831K shares |
| 1 year | +2.7% | +18.7M shares |
| 3 years | +16% | +96.6M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +140M shares |
| Available history | +36% | +190M shares |
RBLX has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201M |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | — |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RBLX Net Leverage
RBLX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
RBLX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 62.2 | Neutral |
RBLX's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RBLX PE vs Technology Sector
RBLX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
RBLX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $48.1 | 6.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $46.0 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $55.6 | 7.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $73.7 | 30% below |
| 200 week MA | $56.6 | 9.1% below |
RBLX has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
RBLX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $69.7 | $101.8 | +46% |
| 2022 | $101.8 | $26.8 | -74% |
| 2023 | $26.8 | $45.7 | +71% |
| 2024 | $45.7 | $59.5 | +30% |
| 2025 | $59.5 | $82.2 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $82.2 | $51.4 | -37% |
RBLX has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.