ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

QTWO

Q2 Holdings, Inc.

73
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

QTWO has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

QTWO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

QTWO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QTWO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE356x712x1068x1424x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE356x712x1068x1424x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$72.95—
Cheap42x$72.13-1.1%
Current43x$72.95—
Fair60x$102+40%
Expensive1,034x$1,758+2310%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QTWO's PE is in its cheap range at 43x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

QTWO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for QTWO, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails QTWO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QTWO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$100.40
Downside-19%$58.90

Calculated from the latest close: $72.95 on Nov 12.

QTWO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

QTWO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.12Q1 2024: $-1.34Q2 2024: $-1.15Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.64Q1 2025: $-0.34Q2 2025: $0.06Q3 2025: $0.49Q4 2025: $0.80Q1 2026: $1.13Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $3.28
Q4 2023: $-1.12Q1 2024: $-1.34Q2 2024: $-1.15Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.64Q1 2025: $-0.34Q2 2025: $0.06Q3 2025: $0.49Q4 2025: $0.80Q1 2026: $1.13Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $3.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.28+93%
Q3 2026$1.70+247%
Q2 2026$1.41+2250%
Q1 2026$1.13+$1.47
Q4 2025$0.80+$1.44
Q3 2025$0.49+$1.44
Q2 2025$0.06+$1.21
Q1 2025-$0.34+$1.00
Q4 2024-$0.64+$0.48

QTWO has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

QTWO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $162MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $183MQ1 2025: $190MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $202MQ4 2025: $208MQ1 2026: $217MQ2 2026: $220MQ3 2026: $226M
Q4 2023: $162MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $183MQ1 2025: $190MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $202MQ4 2025: $208MQ1 2026: $217MQ2 2026: $220MQ3 2026: $226M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$225.8M+12%
Q2 2026$219.8M+13%
Q1 2026$216.5M+14%
Q4 2025$208.2M+14%
Q3 2025$201.7M+15%
Q2 2025$195.1M+13%
Q1 2025$189.7M+15%
Q4 2024$183M+13%

QTWO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $226M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

QTWO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $59MQ3 2026: $63M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $59MQ3 2026: $63M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$62.6M+46%
Q2 2026$59M+25%
Q1 2026$49.7M+16%
Q4 2025$61.7M+48%
Q3 2025$42.9M+5%
Q2 2025$47.3M+37%
Q1 2025$42.7M+255%
Q4 2024$41.6M+17%

QTWO has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

QTWO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 60MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 60MQ3 2024: 60MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 65MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.9%-1.9M shares
1 year-9.1%-6.3M shares
3 years+8.6%+5M shares
5 years+12%+7M shares
Available history+38%+17.3M shares

QTWO has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

QTWO Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -131.0xQ3 2024: -26.6xQ4 2024: -13.5xQ1 2025: -9.8xQ2 2025: -7.1xQ3 2025: -6.0xQ4 2025: -3.9xQ1 2026: -2.9xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q2 2024: -131.0xQ3 2024: -26.6xQ4 2024: -13.5xQ1 2025: -9.8xQ2 2025: -7.1xQ3 2025: -6.0xQ4 2025: -3.9xQ1 2026: -2.9xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-6.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.5xNet Cash

QTWO has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

QTWO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.3Neutral
Stochastic84.4Overbought

QTWO's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QTWO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricQTWOSector medianRelative
PE43x28x54% above
PE %183517 pts below

QTWO is trading at 43x earnings, a 54% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

QTWO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$64.613% above
20 week MA$61.519% above
50 week MA$57.627% above
100 week MA$69.94.3% above
200 week MA$59.423% above

QTWO has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

QTWO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$82.4$128.1+55%
2021$128.1$81.9-36%
2022$81.9$25.2-69%
2023$25.2$43.4+72%
2024$43.4$103.4+138%
2025$103.4$74.5-28%
2026 YTD$74.5$73.0-2.1%

QTWO has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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