ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

QMCO

Quantum Corporation

67
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

QMCO has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

QMCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Strong

QMCO's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QMCO PE Valuation

QMCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

QMCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect QMCO to return to profit, with revenue growing.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and QMCO's risk to reward.

QMCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $16.63 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare ASTS and QMCO's risk to reward.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

QMCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.80Q1 2024: $-9.00Q2 2024: $-11.20Q3 2024: $-13.22Q4 2024: $-25.78Q1 2025: $-25.74Q2 2025: $-23.21Q3 2025: $-23.88Q4 2025: $-11.35Q1 2026: $-7.97Q2 2026: $-13.16Q3 2026: $-10.81Forward: $0.75
Q4 2023: $-7.80Q1 2024: $-9.00Q2 2024: $-11.20Q3 2024: $-13.22Q4 2024: $-25.78Q1 2025: $-25.74Q2 2025: $-23.21Q3 2025: $-23.88Q4 2025: $-11.35Q1 2026: $-7.97Q2 2026: $-13.16Q3 2026: $-10.81Forward: $0.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.75—
Q3 2026-$10.81+$13.07
Q2 2026-$13.16+$10.05
Q1 2026-$7.97+$17.77
Q4 2025-$11.35+$14.43
Q3 2025-$23.88-$10.66
Q2 2025-$23.21-$12.01
Q1 2025-$25.74-$16.74
Q4 2024-$25.78-$17.98

QMCO has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over QMCO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QMCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $72MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $64MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $90M
Q4 2023: $72MQ1 2024: $72MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $64MQ3 2025: $63MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $90M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$89.6M+43%
Q2 2026$80.8M+26%
Q1 2026$78M+27%
Q4 2025$74.6M+2.8%
Q3 2025$62.7M-11%
Q2 2025$64.3M-9.9%
Q1 2025$61.3M-14%
Q4 2024$72.6M+0.9%

QMCO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $90M last quarter, up 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

QMCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: −$16MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: $552,000Q3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: −$16MQ4 2025: −$4MQ1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: $552,000Q3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.1M+$29.1M
Q2 2026$552K+$18.6M
Q1 2026-$1.2M+$2.7M
Q4 2025-$4.3M-$21K
Q3 2025-$16M+$894K
Q2 2025-$18.1M-$14.6M
Q1 2025-$3.9M-146%
Q4 2024-$4.2M+$7.4M

QMCO has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has the edge over QMCO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

QMCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+79%+17.4M shares
1 year+196%+26.1M shares
3 years+742%+34.8M shares
5 years+1827%+37.4M shares
Available history+1594%+37.1M shares

QMCO has 39M diluted shares, up 196% from a year ago.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

QMCO Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -4.9x
Q3 2026: -4.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 202012.1xHigh
Q3 20208.3xHigh
Q2 20207.5xHigh
Q1 20205.8xHigh

QMCO has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

QMCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.3Neutral
Stochastic23.6Neutral

QMCO's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QMCO PE vs Technology Sector

QMCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

QMCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.827% below
20 week MA$19.515% below
50 week MA$12.533% above
100 week MA$13.722% above
200 week MA$13.226% above

QMCO has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

QMCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$147.0$118.2-20%
2021$118.2$103.8-12%
2022$103.8$22.8-78%
2023$22.8$6.98-69%
2024$6.98$70.7+912%
2025$70.7$6.96-90%
2026 YTD$6.96$16.6+139%

QMCO has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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